Draw
Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Danubio
Who will win?
1
Cerro Largo
x
Draw
2
Danubio
The Uruguay Primera División – Clausura sees Cerro Largo host Danubio on Monday, August 18, 2025, with kickoff scheduled for 23:00 GMT. Our Football Park data model points to a tightly contested affair, with the away side’s resilience making the Danubio Double Chance (Win or Draw) market the standout betting angle. Recent meetings between these sides have been dominated by low-scoring draws, and the underlying numbers suggest that trend could continue.
Key Betting Tip: Danubio Double Chance @ 1.53 – supported by a 73.3% probability of avoiding defeat based on our projections.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Danubio Double Chance @ 1.53 – backed by our statistical model to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a low-scoring contest.
Our two highest-rated percentage selections for this game are:
Danubio Double Chance – 73.30% Probability
Under 2.5 Match Goals – 60.00% Probability
The model forecasts just 2.10 total goals, with both teams projected to score only once or less on average. Given the expected tight nature of the match, the draw is also heavily favoured at 53.3% probability.
## Best Cerro Largo vs Danubio Betting Tips
Danubio’s ability to grind out results away from home makes them a smart bet in this market. They have drawn on four of their last seven visits to Cerro Largo, and our algorithm suggests they have a 73.3% chance of avoiding defeat here.
With both sides averaging just over one expected goal each, plus a strong defensive history in this fixture, the under market offers genuine value. Six of the last eight meetings have ended with two or fewer goals.
Expect a cautious start – there’s only a 53% probability of a first-half goal, and just a 20% chance of over 1.5 first-half goals. Both teams are likely to prioritise shape over risk, making for a chess-like midfield battle.
Five of the last eight head-to-head meetings ended 0-0 or 1-1.
Cerro Largo have not lost at home to Danubio since 2012.
The last three competitive meetings in Cerro Largo produced just one goal combined.
## Final Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction
With historical trends, goal projections, and percentage probabilities all pointing towards a low-scoring stalemate, backing Danubio to avoid defeat while keeping the scoreline tight looks the smartest play.
Danubio Double Chance @ 1.53
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.50
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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