Over 1.5
Agropecuario 2 - 0 Gimnasia M.
Who will win?
1
Agropecuario
x
Draw
2
Gimnasia M.
The Argentina Primera Nacional continues on 15 September 2025 at 19:30 GMT, as Agropecuario host Gimnasia de Mendoza in a crucial encounter at the Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig. These two sides have a history of low-scoring, tight battles, but Football Park’s algorithm — the same model applied in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield analysis — sees a clearer path to value this time. With Agropecuario holding a slight statistical edge and the model highlighting potential in specific betting markets, punters will find opportunities beyond the outright result.
This preview delivers a data-driven breakdown of win probabilities, key betting markets, and head-to-head patterns, ensuring readers have the insight needed to approach this fixture strategically.
Home Win Probability: 44.70%
Draw Probability: 24.30%
Away Win Probability: 31.00%
Correct Score Prediction: Agropecuario 2-0 Gimnasia M.
Agropecuario to Win @ 2.75 – Backed by the model with a strong 44.7% probability.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.57 – Supported by a 63.3% chance, making it the safer high-probability market.
Expected Match Goals: 1.7, pointing toward a low-to-moderate scoring affair.
First Half Outlook: 73.3% probability of a half-time draw, but 53% chance of at least one goal before the break.
Both Teams to Score: 53.3% likelihood, making it less reliable than the over 1.5 market.
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Home reflects Agropecuario’s tendency to grow into matches.
07 Oct 2023: Agropecuario 0-0 Gimnasia M.
31 Jul 2022: Agropecuario 0-1 Gimnasia M.
25 Jul 2021: Agropecuario 2-0 Gimnasia M.
Trend: Low-scoring has been the theme, but Agropecuario have won two of the last three meetings at home.
Home Win @ 2.75 – Algorithm support makes this the standout value.
Away Win @ 2.70 – Less convincing at 31% probability, though market odds are close.
Draw @ 3.00 – Reasonable at 24%, but not as strong as the home win.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.57 – Most consistent high-percentage bet.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.70 – Only 40% likelihood; riskier but potentially rewarding.
Agropecuario to Win @ 2.75 – The data favours the home side, with close to 45% win probability.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.57 – Offers the safest route based on model confidence.
Venue: Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig
Date & Kick-off: 15 September 2025, 19:30 GMT
Correct Score Prediction: Agropecuario 2-0 Gimnasia M.
Broadcast Details: TyC Sports (Argentina), international streaming via regional providers
Football Park’s betting tips are powered by algorithm-based insights. While probabilities point to value, football remains unpredictable. Bet responsibly, and only stake what you can afford to lose.
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