Regionalliga - Nord
Home Win
St. Pauli II 2 - 1 Altona 93
Who will win?
1
St. Pauli II
x
Draw
2
Altona 93
Match Date: Sunday, 19 October 2025 Kick-off: 13:00 GMT Competition: Germany Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II welcome Altona 93 to the Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion in a Regionalliga Nord encounter where the home side are favoured to maintain their recent form. Football Park’s algorithm rates St. Pauli II as 53.3% favourites, thanks to their attacking consistency and superior first-half dominance.
Altona 93 have shown flashes of attacking potential but remain unpredictable defensively, conceding multiple goals in four of their last six away matches. With 2.7 expected match goals and an 80% probability of Both Teams to Score, the data points to a lively, open contest where both sides are likely to find the net.
Our data-driven algorithm evaluates over 200 advanced match variables — including shot creation, conversion rate, and defensive positioning — to forecast likely outcomes:
Home Win Probability: 53.30%
Away Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 80.00%
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
The model’s projected correct score of 2-1 supports a narrow home win scenario, highlighting St. Pauli II’s strong offensive patterns and first-half control.
St. Pauli II’s home advantage and attacking metrics make this the standout betting selection. The hosts have a 53.3% win probability, and have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home fixtures.
Their front three have been particularly effective at breaking down compact defensive blocks — a weakness Altona have shown repeatedly, especially on the road. The model’s 66.7% first-half win projection further supports early control by the home side. Recommended Bet: St. Pauli II to Win @ 1.80
With an 80% BTTS probability, this market carries significant value. Both sides possess attacking profiles stronger than their defensive ones, and previous data backs it up — 7 of St. Pauli II’s last 8 home matches and 6 of Altona’s last 7 away games have seen goals at both ends.
Given the expected tempo and transition-heavy playstyle, BTTS appears highly likely. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.36
13 Feb 2022: St. Pauli II 1-0 Altona 93
This will be just the second competitive meeting in recent seasons, with St. Pauli II having previously edged out Altona by a single goal. However, both sides have evolved since, with current data indicating a more expansive, attacking dynamic expected in this fixture.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 70% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 45% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 40% probability
Both Teams to Score: 80% probability
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 87% probability
With 1.27 expected first-half goals, early action is almost guaranteed. Both teams tend to attack directly from kick-off, and the model indicates a high chance of at least one first-half goal inside 25 minutes.
Football Park’s algorithm suggests a competitive, high-tempo contest where both teams’ attacking flair outweighs their defensive stability. St. Pauli II’s superior finishing and pressing make them the likelier winners, while Altona’s counter-threat should keep things interesting.
The most probable result: St. Pauli II 2-1 Altona 93 — aligning with both the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS angles.
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