Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Dunfermline face Raith Rovers on 17 October 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT in the Scottish Championship. This fixture at East End Park brings together two sides with a long and competitive history, and Football Park’s algorithm has identified clear value in the away markets. Using over 200 key performance indicators, our Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers predictions deliver a data-driven breakdown to help bettors find statistically backed opportunities.

Previous meetings have been tightly contested, with Raith winning four of the last six encounters. Football Park’s model gives the visitors a 46.7% chance of victory, compared to 33.3% for Dunfermline, suggesting the away side are marginal favourites in what could be a controlled, lower-scoring encounter.

Below, we analyse key match insights, timeline patterns, and provide our two top betting tips for this fixture.

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Timeline & Key Betting Insights

This fixture has consistently delivered decisive results, with draws being relatively rare. Raith Rovers have enjoyed recent dominance in Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers matches, winning on four separate occasions since late 2023 — including three consecutive away victories. Dunfermline did win their most recent meeting in February 2025 (3–1), but Raith’s tactical discipline and strong first-half performances have made them difficult to break down.

Market odds reflect this balance:

Dunfermline Win: 2.88

Draw: 3.00

Raith Rovers Win: 2.36

The algorithm’s correct score projection of 0–2 aligns with Raith’s historical success at East End Park, combined with Dunfermline’s current attacking struggles. The model anticipates a cautious first half — 53.3% probability of a draw at half time — before Raith pull ahead, matching the Draw/Away half-time/full-time pattern highlighted in the data.

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Predictions

Football Park’s advanced prediction model, built on over 200 performance data points per match, suggests a low-scoring game with away control. Raith Rovers hold a 46.7% win probability, and while neither side is expected to dominate attacking metrics, Raith’s tactical organisation and consistent away record make them the algorithm’s preferred selection.

With 2.10 expected total match goals, this fixture trends significantly lower than average in the Scottish Championship. Both teams to score is rated at just 33.3%, indicating that Raith could keep a clean sheet if they manage the game as effectively as in their previous visits.

The algorithm therefore favours Raith Rovers to win in a match with limited goals, a projection supported by historical data and current statistical trends.

Best Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Betting Tips

Based on our model’s output, here are the two top-rated percentage betting selections for this fixture:

1. Raith Rovers to Win – 46.7% Probability | Odds: 2.36

Raith’s sustained success in this fixture, particularly away from home, makes this a strong value pick. Their ability to frustrate Dunfermline and edge tight matches has been a recurring theme over recent seasons. Backing the away win aligns with both the correct score projection (0–2) and the Draw/Away half-time/full-time trend.

2. Over 0.5 First Half Goals – 67% Probability | Odds: 1.50

Despite the overall low goal projection, early breakthroughs have been common in this fixture historically. With 67% probability of at least one first-half goal, this market offers a statistically reliable angle at modest odds. Raith’s 40% probability of leading at half-time reinforces this as a strong supporting selection.

Both of these selections are grounded in Football Park’s algorithmic model, which focuses on long-term profitability by identifying value edges rather than simply backing favourites.

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Lineups & Tactical Notes

While official Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, historical patterns offer insight into how the match may unfold. Raith typically set up with a compact defensive structure, striking on transitions — a strategy that has delivered multiple clean sheets in this fixture since 2023.

Dunfermline’s attacking numbers are modest, with only 1.00 expected goals per match in the data projection, suggesting they may struggle to create clear chances. Raith, meanwhile, are expected to edge the shot quality battle and capitalise after a disciplined first half.

Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Matches: Historical Snapshot

• 01 Feb 2025: Dunfermline 3–1 Raith Rovers
• 13 Sep 2024: Dunfermline 2–0 Raith Rovers
• 24 Nov 2023: Dunfermline 0–3 Raith Rovers
• 26 Aug 2023: Dunfermline 0–1 Raith Rovers
• 02 Jan 2024: Dunfermline 1–2 Raith Rovers

Raith’s ability to win on the road is evident, with three clean sheets in their last four trips to East End Park. This historical context strongly supports the away win selection identified by our model.

Match Facts

Competition: Scottish Championship

Date & Time: 14 October 2025 | 19:45 GMT

Venue: East End Park, Dunfermline

Referee: TBA

Broadcasting will be via regional Scottish sports networks, with additional coverage on Football Park’s statistical match centre.

Responsible Betting Advice

While the data offers clear value angles, football betting always carries variance. Even high-probability selections can lose in single-match scenarios. We recommend responsible staking, focusing on consistency over time rather than short-term gains.

Visit our Football Betting Tips Guide for strategy advice, or explore today’s football predictions to access our latest algorithm-backed selections across all major competitions.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our data-driven previews combine algorithmic modelling with expert insight to highlight value markets that outperform traditional form-based analysis. Explore more upcoming match previews and betting tips here.