Scottish Cup


Home Win
Linlithgow Rose 3 - 2 Queen's Park
Who will win?
1

Linlithgow Rose
x
Draw
2

Queen's Park
Linlithgow Rose host Queen’s Park on 28 November 2025 at 19:45 GMT in the Scotland FA Cup, a classic early-round matchup where the Football Park predictive engine sees far greater balance than the betting markets imply. As with our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips template, this preview draws on Football Park’s advanced algorithm, assessing over 200 match variables to project outcomes with strong probabilistic foundations.
Despite Queen’s Park entering as overwhelming favourites in the market, the Football Park model paints a very different picture—one that strongly favours Linlithgow Rose across several of the most predictive metrics, including a 60 percent home win probability, expected dominance in transition phases, and a projected 3-2 Correct Score. This fixture has the statistical profile of an FA Cup shock: high tempo, aggressive attacking patterns and structural volatility leading to goals at both ends.
With a projected 4.10 total goals, significant early scoring probability, and clear value in the home side outperforming market expectations, this match represents one of the most intriguing data-driven opportunities of the round.
Football Park’s algorithm signals a compelling tilt in favour of the home side, assigning Linlithgow Rose a 60 percent chance of victory, far surpassing Queen’s Park’s 20 percent. The remaining 20 percent draw probability reflects the volatility typical of knockout football, but the model’s expected goal split illustrates a standout pattern: 2.60 goals for Linlithgow Rose compared to 1.50 for Queen’s Park.
High scoring probabilities support an open contest:
The model sees early initiative from the home side, projecting a 50 percent halftime home win probability, the strongest early-phase metric in the data. The projected 3-2 Linlithgow Rose victory corresponds with the match’s elevated scoring curve, strong attacking contributions on both sides, and FA Cup-specific variance patterns.
While recent direct meetings are limited, Football Park’s match flow modelling uses comparable fixtures, stylistic match-ups and cross-tier data to understand how this clash historically tends to unfold in similar environments. Queen’s Park often approach early-round FA Cup ties with expansive possession play, but this style frequently exposes them in defensive transition—precisely where Linlithgow Rose’s algorithmic strengths emerge.
Lower-tier sides with strong transitional metrics perform disproportionately well in knockout matches when:
Here, all three thresholds are exceeded. This is why Football Park rates the likelihood of a home upset far higher than the bookmakers currently suggest.
Below are Football Park’s two strongest, percentage-driven betting angles, based strictly on the highest probability outputs.
1. Linlithgow Rose to Win
Odds: 9.50
Despite the market pricing Linlithgow Rose as heavy underdogs, Football Park assigns them a 60 percent chance of winning, one of the most dramatic divergences between algorithmic projections and bookmaker odds in this round of fixtures.
Their expected goal output of 2.60, combined with a 50 percent halftime home win probability, suggests sustained attacking pressure across both halves. This is the standout value selection.
2. Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
Odds: 1.91
This combined market aligns perfectly with Football Park’s projections:
Every major scoring indicator supports a high-tempo, multi-goal contest with both sides contributing—making this one of the most reliable statistical angles of the tie.
For additional FA Cup probabilities and market edges, see Football Park’s specialised knockout match predictions.
Referee: Appointment pending. Referee profiles for FA Cup matches can significantly influence card counts and game flow, and Football Park will update projections accordingly.
Broadcast Information: UK broadcast rights for early-round FA Cup matches are typically assigned across national terrestrial partners and digital streaming platforms.
Venue Insight: Linlithgow Rose’s home pitch profile—a narrower, high-intensity playing environment—favours rapid transitions, especially against higher-tier sides who rely on structured buildup play. The 80 percent probability of over 0.5 first-half goals and 60 percent probability of over 1.5 first-half goals both reflect the venue’s tendency to create early chaos.
Football Park’s timeline modelling suggests an aggressive start from Linlithgow Rose, aiming to disrupt Queen’s Park’s rhythm immediately. A high-energy opening 20 minutes is expected, with the home side’s vertical transitions producing early chances—correlating directly with the 50 percent halftime home win projection.
Queen’s Park are expected to stabilise mid-half through sustained possession phases, but the model predicts a breakdown in defensive structure shortly after halftime as Linlithgow Rose increase tempo. The highest probability scoring window arrives between minutes 55 and 70.
The closing stages project a stretched, high-variance scenario. The model’s 3-2 correct score reflects both teams’ likelihood of finding late opportunities, with Linlithgow Rose’s higher finishing efficiency giving them the decisive edge.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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