Scottish League One


Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Queen Of The South
Who will win?
1

Kelty Hearts
x
Draw
2

Queen Of The South
A fixture with implications at both ends of the table, Kelty Hearts host Queen of the South as they bid to earn a valuable three points to lower their chances of a relegation battle this season. The visitors are pushing towards the top end of the table, so are likely to be favourites, but given the importance of a result for both sides, we anticipate a high-scoring affair.
Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.71 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm. Both sides have proven themselves in front of goal, and the hosts have an especially leaky defence, so there should be plenty of goalmouth action in this one.
We also back an alternative tip on this fixture of BTTS 1.67 odds, which offers good value considering the likelihood of goals in this tie.
Kelty Hearts Predicted XI (3-5-2): Ryan Adamson; Jack Wyllie, Jack Brydon, Murray Thomas; James Graham, Aaron Arnott, Craig Clay, Alex Ferguson, Luke McCarvel; Craig Johnston, Ricco Diack
Queen of the South Predicted XI (4-1-4-1): Ross Stewart; Taylor Charters, Jack Hannah, Matthew Douglas, Zander MacKenzie; Benjamin Luissint; Kai Kennedy, Jack Stott, Reece Lyon, Liam Smith; Kurtis Guthrie
Kelty Hearts are struggling towards the bottom of the table, currently sat in ninth in the relegation play-off spot. Thankfully for them, Cove Rangers have had an even worse start to the season, but only three points seperate the bottom two. They're a little too far behind the main bulk of the teams in the table, but three points could see them climb above Montrose and into a healthier position.
Queen of the South have had contrasting fortunes so far, as they find themselves in fourth place and the promotion play-offs. The pack behind them are following closely, with the three teams below them within just two points, so they'll need a positive result to give themselves a little bit of breathing room and mount a push to the top of the table, whom they are six points behind.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Historically, this has been a fixture dominated by Kelty Hearts, but Queen of the South have earned bragging rights more regularly in recent encounters. The Hearts have prevailed nine times, while the Doonhammers have only won three, two of which have been in their last two games. They have only ended the game on level terms twice, so we should be in for some entertainment this time.
Kelty Hearts Last 5 Matches:
Kelty Hearts have really struggled for form in the league this season - they've only won two games in League One, with their last coming back in September. Taking a point each from Inverness and Stenhousemuir are positive results considering their league position, but back-to-back 3-0 losses would understandably give them a bit of a knock to their confidence.
Queen of the South Last 5 Matches:
After a disappointing result at Peterhead, Queen of the South have returned to positive form with a three-game unbeaten run to thrust them back up into the play-off places going into this game. They proved how much of a threat they are in front of goal last time out against East Fife, meaning they have scored seven goals in their last five games, and will hope to fire some more in against a struggling Kelty Hearts.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 75.00% confidence in over 2.5 match goals, as well as a 66.70% confidence in BTTS. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.71 - Kelty Hearts have scored six goals in their last five games, which is beaten by Queen of the South scoring six in the same amount of time. The hosts have gone seven games without a clean sheet, so we're expecting to see plenty of goals in this game.
Ricco Diack (Kelty Hearts): The young Scotsman has had a good start to life at Kelty Hearts despite their struggling league form - he has scored five goals in 11 games in all competitions, grabbing both goals in their 2-2 draw with Stenhousemuir. This lad just loves finding the net, and I wouldn't be surprised if he bags again in this one.
Liam Smith (Queen of the South): The 22-year old Man City academy graduate has put up excellent numbers on the right flank for Queen of the South this season, registering five assists in the league. He tore apart East Fife in their 3-0 thrashing, managing a goal and an assist - his first goal this season. I expect him to maintain this kind of performance next time out.
Referee: N/A
Stadium Information: Located in Kelty, a town in Fife, New Central Park can hold up to 2,168 spectators, with around 350 seated.
Kelty Hearts 2-1 Queen of the South
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