Celtic vs Motherwell Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Celtic vs Motherwell Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Celtic welcome Motherwell to Celtic Park on Sunday, 5 October 2025 (15:00 GMT) in the Scottish Premiership. Despite being overwhelming favourites with the bookmakers (1.20 for a home win), the model data interestingly suggests a 53.3% probability of a draw, with the most likely correct score being 1-1. Celtic still hold the edge in expected goals (1.7 vs 0.8), but Motherwell may frustrate them as they have in recent head-to-heads.

Key Betting Tip: Draw @ 8.00 (Value Play)

Match Details

Date: 5 October 2025

Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT

Competition: Scotland Premiership

Venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow – capacity 60,411

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

UK: Sky Sports Football

International: Celtic TV (selected regions), ESPN+, Viaplay

Celtic vs Motherwell Predictions

Home Win Probability: 33.3%

Away Win Probability: 13.3%

Draw Probability: 53.3%

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

Both Teams to Score Probability: 36.7%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40.0%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Draw @ 8.00 – Huge value given the model’s 53.3% draw probability and Celtic’s recent slip-ups vs Motherwell.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.20 – With just 2.5 expected match goals and limited first-half scoring projection, a tight contest looks likely.

Celtic vs Motherwell – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 2.50

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 75%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 65%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%

First Half Goals Projection: 0.73 (53% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Draw @ 8.00 (Strong value play vs market odds)

Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.20

Celtic have dominated this fixture historically, but Motherwell have taken points in 2 of their last 3 visits to Celtic Park (both 1-1 draws). The data suggests a repeat scenario is possible, making the draw and under 2.5 goals the most attractive betting angles.

Responsible Betting

At Football Park, we highlight where data finds value against bookmaker pricing. But remember: football is unpredictable, and betting carries risk. Always gamble responsibly.