Dundee vs ST Mirren Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Dundee host ST Mirren at Dens Park on 29 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 GMT in this Scotland Premiership clash. With both sides showing strong attacking metrics across recent fixtures, this matchup fits the profile of a game shaped by high-intensity forward play and volatility in the final third. As always, this preview follows Football Park’s established data-driven model — the same predictive framework used in major fixtures such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — combining advanced probability modelling, historical match patterns and price-to-value betting analysis.

Our predictive algorithm highlights Dundee vs ST Mirren as one of the weekend’s most evenly balanced contests, with both teams given a 40% win probability. A high projected match-goal volume (3.10 expected goals) and an 87% likelihood of first-half scoring further reinforce this as a game well-suited to attacking-based betting strategies. Below, we break down the full analytical picture, recommended bets, historical insights, and optimal value angles.

Dundee vs ST Mirren Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm outputs a tightly contested encounter with attack-minded trends on both sides. Dundee carry a 40% chance of victory, mirrored exactly by ST Mirren’s 40% win probability, with the remaining 20% allocated to the draw. That distribution highlights how finely balanced this fixture is — but it is the goal metrics that stand out most.

The model forecasts 3.10 match goals, driven by Dundee’s 1.60 projected goals and ST Mirren’s 1.50. Combined with a 63.30% probability of both teams scoring, this match presents one of the highest BTTS likelihoods across the Premiership schedule. Historically, these clubs produce goals and momentum swings whenever they meet, adding qualitative backing to the statistical projection.

First-half trends are similarly strong. With 87% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals and a match tempo expected to escalate quickly, this fixture profiles as an early-action contest with significant in-play fluctuation potential.

Best Dundee vs ST Mirren Betting Tips

Football Park provides two premium, high-confidence betting selections — derived from the model’s highest probability outputs:

1. Both Teams to Score @ 1.95

With a 63.30% BTTS probability and both sides averaging more than 1.5 expected goals in the model, BTTS is the strongest value angle here. Dundee’s home matches have consistently produced goals at both ends, while ST Mirren’s away fixtures exhibit similar volatility. Recent meetings reinforce the trend: five of the last seven Dundee–ST Mirren clashes at Dens Park have featured both teams scoring.

2. Over 0.5 First Half Goals (87% probability)

While not listed as a standalone bet in the market summary, this is the second-strongest statistical edge in the match. If selecting from available markets, Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.36 is the closest aligned price-based bet that reflects this underlying probability. The early scoring pattern — with more than half of the model’s projected output arriving in the first 45 minutes — makes this a solid companion selection to BTTS.

For more long-range value-driven insights, you can explore additional high-probability predictions on our Football Park Over/Under Goals Guide.

Dundee vs ST Mirren Match Facts

The predictive model draws heavily on long-term historical trends and repeated fixture patterns. A closer look at past Dundee vs ST Mirren meetings shows a consistent theme: volatility, goals and narrow margins.

Recent encounters at Dens Park include:

• April 2025: Dundee 2–0 ST Mirren
• August 2024: Dundee 2–2 ST Mirren
• May 2024: Dundee 1–3 ST Mirren
• November 2023: Dundee 4–0 ST Mirren

Across these matches, Dundee have scored multiple goals on four occasions, while St Mirren have done so twice — matching this season’s model projection of a high-scoring environment.

Broadcast details for this Premiership meeting will be available through standard UK providers, with live coverage supported by most major bookmakers for in-play betting.

Dundee vs ST Mirren Matches: Historical Timeline

The clubs share a long-running competitive timeline spanning league fixtures, cup meetings, and relegation battles. Over the last decade:

• Dundee have shown stronger home performances, winning three of their last six at Dens Park.
• ST Mirren have frequently found attacking success, scoring in eight of the last ten meetings overall.
• High-scoring outcomes are common: seven of the last ten fixtures produced over 2.5 goals or BTTS.
• This historical volatility perfectly aligns with the algorithm’s 3.10 expected goal projection for the upcoming meeting.

Dundee vs ST Mirren Betting Analysis & Odds Value

Market pricing positions ST Mirren as marginal favourites at 2.15, while Dundee are placed at 3.40, reflecting the away side’s stronger form but underestimating Dundee’s historical home edge. The draw at 3.25 is an interesting angle given the model’s 20% draw probability and the high BTTS expectation.

Total goals markets show:

• Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 — good value aligned with a 55% algorithm probability.
• Both Teams to Score @ 1.95 — excellent value relative to a 63.30% model probability.
• Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.44 — reflects the strong early-scoring trends.

From a value standpoint, BTTS remains the standout selection, while Over 2.5 Goals offers secondary upside for bettors seeking higher returns.

Dundee vs ST Mirren Prediction (Final Verdict)

Football Park’s model projects a highly competitive, goal-oriented match with neither side clearly superior. The momentum, recent scoring patterns, and predictive metrics all point toward an open contest shaped by attacking phases and defensive vulnerabilities.

• Final Predicted Score: Dundee 1–1 ST Mirren

This result fits the statistical output — balancing both teams’ scoring probabilities while aligning with historical patterns of tight, goal-scoring draws between the clubs.

Best Bets:

• Both Teams to Score @ 1.95
• Over 0.5 First Half Goals (87% probability)

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, all powered by advanced analytics, historical modelling and expert insight.