Falkirk vs Hibernian Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Falkirk vs Hibernian Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: September 4, 2025 | Falkirk Stadium | Scottish League Cup Round of 16 | 19:45 GMT

Scottish Cup nights at the Falkirk Stadium always bring drama — and this tie promises exactly that as Championship side Falkirk welcome Premiership outfit Hibernian in the League Cup Round of 16. Hibs arrive as favourites, with Football Park’s algorithm assigning them a 53.3% probability of victory compared to Falkirk’s 26.7%, highlighting the gulf in squad depth and top-flight experience.

Despite that, Falkirk will take confidence from a strong home record and a history of pushing Hibs close in cup competition. With both teams projected to score and over 2.5 goals hitting at a 70% probability, this clash has all the makings of a high-intensity knockout fixture.

Key Betting Tip: Hibernian to win at 2.30 offers notable value according to our team of Football Park tipsters, who have flagged their superior quality in attacking areas as a decisive factor.

Falkirk vs Hibernian Timeline

Looking at the recent Falkirk vs Hibernian matches, history heavily favours the visitors:

• 12 Jul 2022: Falkirk 1-0 Hibernian
• 31 Dec 2016: Falkirk 1-2 Hibernian
• 06 Aug 2016: Falkirk 1-2 Hibernian
• 17 Jan 2016: Falkirk 1-1 Hibernian
• 20 Oct 2015: Falkirk 0-1 Hibernian
• 02 May 2015: Falkirk 0-3 Hibernian

Hibs have taken five wins from the last seven meetings, including three of the last four at Falkirk Stadium. While Falkirk did claim a rare 1-0 win in the most recent clash back in 2022, Hibs largely controlled territory and created the better chances that night.

This historical trend fits with our model’s expectation that Hibs will grow into the contest, leveraging their superior fitness and squad depth to push the game out of Falkirk’s reach in the second half.

Falkirk vs Hibernian Predictions

Football Park’s algorithmic model, powered by over 200 performance metrics, gives Hibernian a 53.3% chance of victory. Falkirk sit at 26.7%, with the draw rated 20%.

Key projection highlights:

Most likely correct score: 2-3 to Hibernian

Expected match goals: 2.90 — a high-scoring, open game

Both Teams to Score at 70% probability, showing strong confidence that Falkirk will find the net even in defeat

Half-Time/Full-Time: Away/Away — our model flags a 40% chance of Hibs leading at the break and full time

Over 2.5 Goals rated 70%, reinforcing the expectation of an end-to-end contest

Crucially, the model identifies Away Win + Both Teams to Score as a value angle with 58.9% confidence, indicating Falkirk are likely to score but ultimately be overpowered by the Premiership side’s attack.

Best Falkirk vs Hibernian Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bets:

Hibernian to Win @ 2.30 – Our algorithm rates Hibs at over 53% win probability, and their superior squad depth, higher division pedigree, and positive head-to-head record make this a strong primary bet.

Both Teams to Score (Yes) @ 1.75 – With our model giving this outcome a 70% probability, BTTS stands out as excellent value. Falkirk have scored in their last three home ties against Hibs, and their attacking style could expose Hibs on transitions even if they are outplayed in general play.

These selections are derived from Football Park’s predictive model and reviewed by our expert betting panel. Always gamble responsibly, and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Falkirk vs Hibernian Match Facts

Referee: Willie Collum (Scotland) One of Scotland’s most experienced officials, Collum is known for his strict decision-making and willingness to brandish cards early. His control of the midfield battle will be key in what is expected to be a fast-paced cup tie.

Broadcast Details:

UK: Viaplay Sports

Europe: DAZN (selected regions)

Global: Bet365 Live Streaming (where available)

Stadium Information: The Falkirk Stadium holds just under 8,000 fans and has built a reputation as a tricky away venue. Its tight sightlines and intense crowd proximity can unsettle visiting sides early — but Hibs’ experience and composure will be crucial in weathering the initial pressure.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-led previews are designed to give punters an analytical edge, combining statistical probability models with expert insights from our in-house team.