Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 14, 2026 | Tynecastle Park | Scottish Premiership | 19:45 GMT

A Hearts side high in confidence host St Mirren, who are in a contrasting state of self-efficacy coming into this one considering the form of both sides, in a Premiership clash that could be huge in the title race come the end of the season. Hearts have shown their spirit in recent matches and are making themselves very tough to keep up with at the top of the table, whereas St Mirren have been falling further and further towards the bottom of the table having gone winless in four, losing all three of their last outings.

Key Betting Tips: Hearts to Win @ 1.44 odds on Coral, or 1.36 odds on BoyleSports and Kwiff represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's advanced algorithm.

Hearts are establishing themselves as firm favourites to win the title, and are still putting up excellent fighting performances like the one to beat Dundee FC last time out. We expect them to have far too much quality for St Mirren and pick up another three points.

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Predicted Lineups

Heart of Midlothian Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Craig Gordon; Harry Milne, Stuart Findlay, Craig Halkett, Jordi Altena; Cameron Devlin, Beni Baningime; Alexandros Kyziridis, Claudio Braga, Tomas Magnusson; Lawrence Shankland

Alexander Schwolow's red card against Dundee FC meant 43-year old Craig Gordon had the chance to run back the years in goal, and the German will have to sit out of this game as a result. Missing through injury will be Calem Nieuwenhof, Ageu and Finlay Pollock.

St Mirren Predicted XI (3-4-1-2): Ryan Mullen; Miguel Freckleton, Richard King, Marcus Fraser; Declan John, Fraser Taylor, Alexander Gogić, Jayden Richardson; Conor McMenamin; Dan Nlundulu, Mikael Mandron

Goalkeeper Shamal George was forced off with injury against Falkirk, as was midfielder Killian Phillips, which will add to Stephen Robinson's injury concerns. Other injuries include Liam Donnelly, Jonah Ayunga, Keanu Baccus and Mark O'Hara.

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Current League Standings

There's not really much that hasn't been said about Hearts and their title charge this season, taking advantage of Celtic and Rangers having miserable campaigns by their own standards to potentially run away with the title. They come into this game with a three point lead at the top after their dramatic win against Dundee FC, which demonstrated their unshakable desire and admirable mentality to be able to dig in and pick up points when they need them most. While three points might not sound like the most convincing lead, they do have a game in hand over second placed Rangers, and are six points ahead of Celtic who have played as many games as themselves. They're proving very difficult to catch, and another win here will only solidify that point.

St Mirren are in for a very disappointing Premiership campaign if they don't turn things around very quickly, which comes as a surprise when you look at their incredible League Cup run that saw them take the trophy home. They've taken just 18 points from 20 games so far, a tally that sees them occupying 10th place, with any hopes of reaching the top six already being effectively nil. It's going to take a big push to turn things around, but with silverware under their belt already this season, they should be able to find the right mentality soon. Despite that, I wouldn't bank on their form taking a turn against the high-flying Hearts.

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Head-to-Head Timeline

This has been quite an even fixture when they've met in recent times, with three matches ending on level terms, including both cup ties in which each side managed to win on penalties on separate occasions. Despite that, Hearts have also managed to beat their opposition twice in the last five meetings, with St Mirren's last actual win against them coming about 16 months ago.

Historically, this tie remains in Hearts' favour, managing to register 20 wins against St Mirren since 2010, who in turn have only responded with nine wins of their own. In fact, they've drawn more times than St Mirren have won, with 12 matches ending even, only amplifying the dominance in this fixture that Hearts have imposed over the last 16 years.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• October 29, 2025: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts (Premiership)
• August 16, 2025: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts (League Cup), St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
• February 26, 2025: Hearts 3-1 St Mirren (Premiership)
• February 10, 2025: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts (Scottish Cup), Hearts win 4-2 on penalties
• October 19, 2025: Hearts 4-0 St Mirren (Premiership)

Heart of Midlothian and St Mirren Recent Matches Analysis

Heart of Midlothian Last 5 Matches:

• Hearts 1-0 Dundee FC (A) - Premiership
• Hearts 1-0 Livingston (H) - Premiership
• Hearts 2-3 Hibernian (A) - Premiership
• Hearts 2-1 Rangers (H) - Premiership
• Hearts 2-0 Falkirk (A) - Premiership

This is the kind of form you would expect from the current title favourites, which is making Hearts look very difficult to catch at the summit of the table. The result against Hibs was relatively frustrating for Derek McInnes and his side, but they've responded with two hard fought victories built on defensive solidity, which is, according to Paolo Maldini, what will win you titles. Their last two wins have taken them up to three clean sheets in their last five, which is an incredibly solid record to be able to boast, especially when you add eight goals in that time to the fray. They have looked a very impressive side lately and have a good opportunity to continue their excellent record against a comparatively weaker opposition.

St Mirren Last 5 Matches:

• St Mirren 0-2 Falkirk (H) - Premiership
• St Mirren 0-2 Motherwell (A) - Premiership
• St Mirren 1-2 Rangers (A) - Premiership
• St Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock (H) - Premiership
• St Mirren 1-0 Livingston (H) - Premiership

Ever since their League Cup triumph over Celtic to bring home silverware, St Mirren have been thoroughly disappointing and are slipping towards the relegation battle. Admittedly, they've been playing plenty of oppositions higher up the table than themselves, but if they want to be a mid-table side then they need to be competitive against sides at that level, and they've been failing in that regard as of late. They'll need to start picking up form again soon to avoid a battle for survival, but I wouldn't anticipate that to start with a win over Hearts.

The St Mirren way.
Same every time we get any success.
We operate a bowing club mentality shocked & delighted to have done something good.
Happy to celebrate & sit on their Laurels as all others respond & strengthen.

Drop in same year as a cup a distinct possibility ...AGAIN

— CallMeBayGirl (@CallMeBayGirl) January 10, 2026

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 66.70% confidence in Hearts to Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Hearts to Win @ 1.44 odds on Coral - Hearts look far the stronger team and have been able to maintain good form lately to keep them pretty comfortably at the top of the table. St Mirren's form is unconvincing, so pretty much everything about this points to a home win.

Key Players to Watch: Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren

Alexandros Kyziridis (Heart of Midlothian): The Greek winger has looked excellent for Hearts since signing in the summer, offering a major threat from the left flank. He's registered nine goal contributions in the Premiership so far this season, with three goals and six assists to his name at this point, but he's looked especially dangerous lately. Having grabbed two assists in his last four, he'll be looking to continue supplying the prolific Shankland and Braga from the left wing.

Mikael Mandron (St Mirren): Standing at 6'3'', Mandron can be an imposing figure on the attack, using his height to his advantage to beat defenders in aerial battles. He's been regularly involved in the general build-up play for St Mirren, but he'll be hoping to have a bit more of an impact in front of goal going forward, having only scored four times in the league so far this season. If he can start getting himself back on the scoresheet a bit more regularly then he can be a formidable striker.

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren Match Facts

Broadcast Details: N/A

Referee: N/A

Stadium Information: Located in the Gorgie area of Edinburgh, Tynecastle Park has a capacity of 19,852 and has been home to Hearts since 1886.

Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren: Final Prediction

Heart of Midlothian 3-0 St Mirren