Napoli vs Cagliari Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Napoli vs Cagliari Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Serie A action continues on 30 August 2025, with Napoli hosting Cagliari at the iconic Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. Football Park’s algorithm has flagged this as a strongly one-sided contest, with Napoli given a commanding 73.3% probability of victory. The data points to a clear gulf in class, with Napoli projected to score 1.9 goals compared to Cagliari’s 0.7, making the hosts overwhelming favourites.

Our data-driven preview combines Football Park’s predictive model with in-depth betting analysis to provide smart value picks for punters. Napoli’s recent dominance over Cagliari, coupled with strong algorithmic backing, highlights where the edge lies in this matchup.

Napoli vs Cagliari Predictions

Home Win Probability: 73.30%

Draw Probability: 13.30%

Away Win Probability: 13.30%

Correct Score Prediction: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari

Top 2 Percentage Best Bets:

Napoli to Win @ 1.30 – A high-confidence selection, with nearly three-quarters probability from the model.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 – Backed by a projected 2.5 total match goals and Napoli’s attacking consistency.

Napoli vs Cagliari Timeline & Previous Meetings

The head-to-head history shows Napoli’s superiority:

23 May 2025: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

16 Dec 2023: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari

26 Sep 2021: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

02 May 2021: Napoli 1-1 Cagliari

25 Sep 2019: Napoli 0-1 Cagliari (rare Cagliari win)

05 May 2019: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari

01 Oct 2017: Napoli 3-0 Cagliari

Napoli have taken six wins from their last eight home fixtures against Cagliari, underlining their dominance in this matchup.

Napoli vs Cagliari Matches – Tactical Outlook

First-half trends: Napoli boast a 66.7% chance of leading at half-time, making HT/FT Napoli/Napoli a viable market.

Scoring outlook: There’s a 95% probability of over 0.5 goals and 80% likelihood for over 1.5, suggesting action is almost certain.

BTTS market: At 2.20 odds, the model gives this a 56.7% chance, meaning value exists but Napoli clean sheets remain common historically.

Best Napoli vs Cagliari Betting Tips

Napoli to Win @ 1.30 – The standout safe bet, backed by a 73% win projection.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 – Consistent with Napoli’s attacking profile and head-to-head history.

For correct score markets, 2-1 Napoli fits both the algorithm and recent trends.

Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed by Serie A authorities.

Broadcast: Live coverage on DAZN Italy and international Serie A partners.

Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples – a fortress where Napoli rarely falter against mid-table opposition.

Responsible Gambling Advice

Football Park provides algorithm-backed predictions to identify betting value, but no outcome is certain. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.