Napoli vs Genoa Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Napoli vs Genoa Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Napoli welcome Genoa to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday, October 5, 2025, with kick-off at 17:00 GMT in Serie A. Luciano Spalletti’s side are the clear favourites, with Football Park’s algorithm projecting a 53.3% probability of a home win. Genoa, however, have shown resilience in recent meetings, drawing the last two league encounters in Naples.

Following the Football Park template seen in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview delivers a fully data-driven outlook on the match. With both sides averaging over three combined goals per fixture across recent meetings, the algorithms highlight high goal potential, particularly in the Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Punters will find Napoli heavily backed at short odds, but the true betting value lies in goal-related markets. Here’s our full breakdown of probabilities, betting insights, and key match details.

Napoli vs Genoa Predictions

Napoli Win Probability: 53.3%

Genoa Win Probability: 6.7%

Draw Probability: 40.0%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-0

Both Teams to Score Probability: 60.0%

Best Napoli vs Genoa Betting Tips

Football Park’s two strongest algorithm-backed selections for this fixture are:

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 3.20 – The model highlights a 65% probability of three or more goals, with a 60% chance of both sides scoring.

Napoli to Win @ 1.48 – With over 50% win probability and home dominance in past meetings, Napoli provide a reliable outright option.

Napoli vs Genoa Matches (Head-to-Head Timeline)

The Stadio Maradona has been a fortress for Napoli, but Genoa have frustrated them in recent years:

11 May 2025 – Napoli 2-2 Genoa

17 Feb 2024 – Napoli 1-1 Genoa

15 May 2022 – Napoli 3-0 Genoa

27 Sep 2020 – Napoli 6-0 Genoa

09 Nov 2019 – Napoli 0-0 Genoa

Napoli dominate the longer-term head-to-head, but Genoa have drawn three of their last five visits.

Napoli vs Genoa Lineups

Confirmed Napoli vs Genoa lineups will be available one hour before kick-off. Expect Napoli to set up aggressively at home, while Genoa are likely to employ a cautious, counter-attacking shape.

Napoli vs Genoa Predictions: Key Match Facts

Most Likely Result: Napoli Win

Most Probable Scoreline: 3-0

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home

Top Value Bets: Napoli Win @ 1.48, Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 3.20

Broadcast & Match Information

Competition: Serie A

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Kick-Off: 17:00 GMT

Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples

Broadcast: Available via DAZN in Italy and international Serie A rights holders

Responsible Betting

While Napoli are heavily favoured, Genoa’s record in recent meetings warns against underestimating their defensive stubbornness. Goal markets provide the stronger value. Always stake responsibly and remember that betting should enhance enjoyment of the match, not create financial pressure.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-driven previews combine advanced modelling with expert analysis, ensuring you always bet with data on your side.