Home Win
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Sport Recife
Who will win?
1
Palmeiras
x
Draw
2
Sport Recife
Palmeiras welcome Sport Recife to the Allianz Parque on Monday, 25 August 2025 (23:00 GMT) in the Brazil Serie A. Football Park’s algorithm gives the defending champions a 60% chance of victory, with Sport Recife limited to just 20%. The model expects a competitive but Palmeiras-dominated clash, projecting a 2-1 home win.
Palmeiras have historically enjoyed strong results at home in this fixture, and with their attack projected at 1.7 goals, the data strongly supports a Palmeiras win as the standout bet.
Key Betting Tip: Palmeiras to Win @ 1.33
Date: 25 August 2025
Kick-Off: 23:00 GMT
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Venue: Allianz Parque, São Paulo – Palmeiras’ modern 43,700-capacity arena, renowned for its atmosphere and fortress-like advantage.
Referee: TBC
Brazil: Premiere / SporTV
South America: ESPN / Star+
International: Live via bet365 streaming (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 60%
Away Win Probability: 20%
Draw Probability: 20%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Palmeiras to Win @ 1.33 – Backed by a strong 60% probability and excellent historical home dominance.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 (est.) – With 2.8 expected goals and 50% probability, goals are likely in this clash.
26 Oct 2021: Palmeiras 2-1 Sport Recife
13 Sep 2020: Palmeiras 2-2 Sport Recife
26 May 2018: Palmeiras 2-3 Sport Recife
16 Nov 2017: Palmeiras 5-1 Sport Recife
23 Oct 2016: Palmeiras 2-1 Sport Recife
Palmeiras have won four of their last six home games against Sport, consistently finding the net multiple times.
Expected Match Goals: 2.80
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 70%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 30%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.00 (67% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Palmeiras to Win @ 1.33
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 (est.)
Palmeiras should extend their excellent home record against Sport Recife, with goals likely given both teams’ attacking tendencies. A 2-1 correct score aligns with the model’s outlook.
Football Park predictions are generated through advanced data analysis. While probabilities highlight betting value, football remains unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Explore more expert previews in our Brazil Serie A predictions and data-driven betting tips for upcoming matches across South America and beyond.
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