Home Win
Parma 1 - 1 Lecce
Who will win?
1
Parma
x
Draw
2
Lecce
Parma welcome Lecce to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, 4 October 2025 (14:00 GMT) in Serie A. The hosts hold a 40% win probability compared to Lecce’s 20%, with the model projecting a 2-1 home win. With both sides averaging above 1 goal per game and a 70% chance of BTTS, this clash points toward an open and competitive fixture.
Date: 4 October 2025
Kick-Off: 14:00 GMT
Competition: Italy Serie A
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma – a historic 23,000-seater ground.
Referee: TBC
Italy: DAZN
UK: TNT Sports / discovery+
International: ESPN+, Paramount+, Bet365 Streaming
Home Win Probability: 40.0%
Away Win Probability: 20.0%
Draw Probability: 40.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Parma Win @ 1.80 – Backed by stronger goal expectancy (1.6 vs 1.1).
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.62 – With high BTTS probability (70%) and 2.7 expected goals, this combo bet offers strong value.
## Parma vs Lecce – Betting Insights
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 40%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.13 (60% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Parma Win @ 1.80
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.62
History shows these sides produce goals when they meet – 4 of the last 6 encounters saw 3+ goals. Parma’s home advantage and greater attacking numbers make them favourites, but Lecce are capable of scoring, making BTTS a smart angle.
At Football Park, our models highlight value bets but no outcome is certain – especially in Serie A’s unpredictable fixtures. Always gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
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