Serie A


Draw
Pisa 0 - 0 Cremonese
Who will win?
1

Pisa
x
Draw
2

Cremonese
The Italy Serie A calendar brings a tightly poised fixture this Friday as Pisa host Cremonese on 7 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT at the Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Both sides approach the contest focused on securing valuable points, but Football Park’s latest algorithmic analysis predicts a tactical, low-scoring affair dominated by structured defending and cautious play.
Football Park’s predictive model—used across top European previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips—has crunched more than 200 performance variables to generate our latest data-driven outcome. The forecast shows Cremonese holding a 53.3% probability of avoiding defeat through a win or draw, making the Cremonese Double Chance @ 1.62 the standout betting selection for this Serie A matchup.
Competition: Italy Serie A Date: 7 November 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Official Pisa vs Cremonese lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, but our data model offers an informed tactical snapshot based on current match probabilities.
Pisa, expected to operate in a compact 3-4-2-1 setup, typically rely on transitional width and set-piece efficiency. However, their Expected Home Goals (0.90) highlight a potential struggle to break down organised defences. Cremonese, under a data projection of 1.30 expected total goals across both halves, favour a 4-3-1-2 structure designed to compress central spaces and restrict tempo.
The algorithm expects a tight contest, particularly early on, with a 60% chance of a first-half draw and a Half-Time/Full-Time trend of Draw/Draw reflecting the likelihood of few decisive openings in the early stages.
The Football Park algorithm identifies this as one of the round’s most balanced Serie A fixtures, projecting a low goal volume and draw-heavy pattern. Pisa’s home win probability sits at just 20%, while Cremonese’s away win chance (26.7%) slightly edges it. However, the key statistic lies in the 53.3% draw likelihood, shaping our betting angle toward a resilient Cremonese performance.
Algorithmic Forecasts:
Home Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 53.30%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Expected Match Goals: 1.60
Both Teams to Score Probability: 36.70%
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Draw
Correct Score: 0-0
These projections signal a fixture that could hinge on a single moment of precision. Pisa’s lack of attacking momentum and Cremonese’s disciplined defensive approach underpin the data’s low-scoring expectation.
The Pisa vs Cremonese timeline reveals a history of low-scoring, cautious encounters. Across the last six meetings, four have ended in draws, and three have featured under 1.5 total goals. This trend aligns perfectly with Football Park’s projection of a 1.60 Expected Match Goals average and Over 1.5 Goals probability of just 40%.
13 May 2025 – Pisa 2-1 Cremonese
02 Dec 2023 – Pisa 0-0 Cremonese
13 Mar 2022 – Pisa 3-0 Cremonese
24 Jul 2021 – Pisa 1-1 Cremonese
04 Oct 2020 – Pisa 1-1 Cremonese
15 Sep 2019 – Pisa 4-1 Cremonese
Despite Pisa’s superior home record historically, Cremonese have tightened their defensive structure in recent seasons, resulting in repeated stalemates. The 0-0 correct score predicted by the algorithm matches this broader head-to-head context.
Football Park’s top-rated betting selection for this Serie A clash is Cremonese Double Chance (Win or Draw). Backed by a 53.3% algorithmic confidence, this market provides significant value given the data’s expectation of a stalemate-heavy contest.
Cremonese’s ability to frustrate stronger opponents away from home makes this outcome statistically favourable. Pisa’s Expected Home Goals (0.90) reflect a lack of consistent offensive production, while Cremonese’s away model (1.50 total goals combined) supports the likelihood of another narrow or drawn outcome.
For value-oriented bettors, the 1.62 price offers a reliable low-risk entry point supported by Football Park’s long-term predictive accuracy.
The second key Football Park selection is Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.30, backed by a 60% probability of fewer than three goals according to our proprietary data. The Expected Match Goals (1.60) metric supports this scenario, as does the trend of defensive control across recent head-to-head meetings.
Cremonese’s tactical preference for low-risk positional play combined with Pisa’s conservative transition model suggests a slow-paced encounter. Our model’s Over 2.5 Goals probability of 20% further strengthens this selection, highlighting that a clean sheet or 1-1 result are the most probable outcomes.
This market complements the Double Chance option, offering bettors an opportunity to pair the two in a correlated, low-volatility strategy.
Football Park’s predictive engine evaluates over 200 unique data inputs including form trajectory, shot conversion rates, and match tempo profiles. For this fixture, all key indicators align toward limited scoring output and defensive parity.
Key Statistical Drivers:
Home Win Probability: 20.00%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Draw Probability: 53.30%
Correct Score Prediction: 0-0
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 40.00%
The algorithm identifies possession control patterns and mid-block efficiency as crucial differentiators. Both teams rely heavily on transitions rather than sustained attacking sequences, which often reduces open-play goal creation. This is reflected in the Over 0.5 First Half Goals (53%) statistic—suggesting a cautious opening half.
Our Pisa vs Cremonese lineups projection suggests Pisa will attempt to use their home width, while Cremonese will maintain a deep defensive shell. Betting markets align with these data trends—Cremonese Double Chance (1.62) remains a value-backed pick relative to implied market probability (61%), while Under 2.5 Goals (2.30) sits above fair value considering the 1.60 goal projection.
The Draw @ 3.00 also carries moderate long-shot appeal for bettors seeking higher returns, though Football Park’s model prefers probability-based discipline over speculative plays.
Football Park’s two high-confidence predictions for this Serie A fixture are:
Cremonese Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62 – Supported by 53.3% model confidence and historical draw patterns.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 2.30 – Backed by the algorithm’s low-scoring expectation and 1.60 goal projection.
These complementary markets form a data-verified strategy optimised for consistency and value extraction.
Football Park reminds readers to bet responsibly, use data-driven insight for decision-making, and consider total stake management when engaging in football markets.
Football Park continues to set the standard for algorithm-based football betting analysis, combining quantitative modelling with tactical expertise. Each match forecast draws on detailed datasets across over 200 predictive metrics—including player efficiency ratios, team dynamics, and historical outcome modelling—validated by professional betting analysts.
This approach ensures accurate, transparent, and high-confidence betting tips across European and international competitions.
Football Park’s algorithm forecasts a low-tempo, tactical contest likely dominated by defensive phases and cautious buildup. Expect limited open-play chances and a result shaped by marginal details rather than attacking flair.
Cremonese Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 2.30
Predicted Score: Pisa 0-0 Cremonese Match Narrative: Structured defending, minimal risks, and a shared point outcome that reflects both teams’ statistical profiles.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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