Pisa vs Fiorentina Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Pisa vs Fiorentina Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pisa face Fiorentina at the Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani on Sunday, 28 September 2025 (14:00 GMT) in Serie A. The algorithm expects a tight contest, with both sides on 30% win probability and a 40% chance of a draw. With just 1.8 expected goals, a low-scoring stalemate is the likeliest outcome. Pisa’s resilience at home suggests they hold value on the double chance.

Key Betting Tip: Pisa Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62

Match Details

Date: 28 September 2025

Kick-Off: 14:00 GMT

Competition: Italy Serie A

Venue: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa – an historic 25,000-capacity ground known for its atmosphere.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Italy: DAZN Italia / Sky Sport

UK: TNT Sports

International: ESPN+, Viaplay, Bet365 streaming

Pisa vs Fiorentina Predictions

Home Win Probability: 30.0%

Away Win Probability: 30.0%

Draw Probability: 40.0%

Correct Score Prediction: 0-0

Both Teams to Score Probability: 36.0%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33.3%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Pisa Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62 – Pisa’s defensive setup and Fiorentina’s modest 0.8 xG projection make this a value play.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 – With just 1.8 expected goals, a cagey low-scoring battle is likely.

Pisa vs Fiorentina – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 1.80

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 86.7%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 46.7%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33.3%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 13.3%

First Half Goals Projection: 0.90 (60% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Pisa Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62

Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62

The algorithm suggests a chess-like Serie A contest where both sides cancel each other out. A 0-0 correct score aligns with the model’s low goal expectations and offers strong betting value.

Responsible Betting

At Football Park, we use data-driven models to uncover value, but football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.