Cesena vs Carrarese Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Cesena vs Carrarese Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The Italy Serie B fixture between Cesena and Carrarese promises a fascinating clash at the Stadio Dino Manuzzi on Tuesday, 28 October 2025, with kick-off at 19:30 GMT. Both sides come into this game looking to establish themselves in the early season promotion race, and recent meetings suggest we’re in for another competitive, goal-filled encounter.

Using the same analytical framework as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, Football Park’s data-driven algorithm has assessed over 200 key performance variables, factoring in attacking efficiency, defensive records, and tactical matchups. The model identifies Cesena to Win @ 2.00 as the strongest value selection, while Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 also ranks as a high-confidence play given the 75.8% BTTS probability.

With both teams averaging over a goal per match and recent head-to-heads producing consistent scoring, this fixture stands out as one of Serie B’s most watchable midweek matchups.

Cesena vs Carrarese Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model sees this as a tightly contested game, but one where Cesena’s home advantage could prove decisive. The algorithm projects a 38.3% chance of a Cesena win, compared to 21.7% for Carrarese, with a 40% probability of a draw — suggesting the hosts edge the balance in expected performance outcomes.

Statistically, Cesena are expected to score 1.7 goals to Carrarese’s 1.1, leading to an overall expected total of 2.9 goals. With both teams possessing strong attacking metrics and defensive lapses in recent fixtures, the data heavily supports the Both Teams to Score and Over Goals markets.

Key Statistical Overview

• Home Win Probability: 38.3%
• Draw Probability: 40.0%
• Away Win Probability: 21.7%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.9
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 75.8%
• Most Likely Correct Score: 1–1

Despite the balanced probabilities, Football Park’s simulation engine gives Cesena a significant advantage in expected goals and home xG efficiency. Historically, Cesena have dominated this matchup, winning three of the last four meetings while scoring multiple goals in each victory.

Football Park’s Best Bets

Cesena to Win @ 2.00 – Backed by a strong home scoring profile and a 38.3% win probability, Cesena’s attacking edge makes this a solid data-supported selection.

Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – With a 75.8% probability of BTTS and both sides consistently finding the net in recent head-to-heads, this market offers strong value.

These are Football Park’s two highest percentage-backed markets, providing the best blend of value and statistical probability for this fixture.

Cesena vs Carrarese Lineups

The projected Cesena vs Carrarese lineups are expected to reflect both sides’ attacking intentions. Cesena will likely continue with a 4-3-3 formation, designed to dominate possession and exploit width through pace and overlapping full-backs. Carrarese, meanwhile, are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, relying on compact defending and fast counters through the wide channels.

Tactical Overview

• Cesena Strengths: Dominant home performances, efficient ball progression, and multi-angle chance creation.
• Carrarese Strengths: Quick counter-attacks, disciplined defensive structure, and aerial set-piece threat.
• Common Weakness: Defensive inconsistency — both teams concede at least one goal in over 70% of matches.

Football Park’s tactical model highlights that Cesena’s high pressing could unsettle Carrarese’s deeper build-up structure. However, the visitors’ counter-attacking approach ensures a high BTTS probability, especially given Cesena’s vulnerability when playing a high defensive line.

Cesena vs Carrarese Timeline

The Cesena vs Carrarese timeline demonstrates a recent pattern of goal-heavy encounters dominated by the hosts. Cesena’s attacking form against Carrarese has been exceptional, but the visitors have still managed to find the net in most fixtures.

Previous Meetings

• 18 Aug 2024: Cesena 2–1 Carrarese
• 30 Oct 2023: Cesena 2–1 Carrarese
• 04 Sep 2022: Cesena 1–2 Carrarese
• 14 Apr 2022: Cesena 6–0 Carrarese

Across these four meetings, Cesena have scored 11 goals, averaging 2.75 goals per game, while Carrarese have found the net in three of those contests. The data highlights the potential for another open, attack-driven game.

First-Half Insights

• Over 0.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 80%
• Over 1.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 37%
• Half-Time Result Most Likely: Cesena Lead (46.7%)

The algorithm anticipates an active first half, with Cesena’s pressing and Carrarese’s pace in transition creating early scoring chances.

Cesena vs Carrarese Matches – Tactical Breakdown

Past Cesena vs Carrarese matches have often hinged on control of midfield transitions and wide-area play. Cesena’s progressive passing system enables sustained territorial dominance, while Carrarese’s compact defensive structure relies on breaking quickly through their forward trio.

Tactical Breakdown

• Cesena’s Approach: Controlled possession, wing overloads, and third-man combinations in attack.
• Carrarese’s Approach: Deep defensive block, long diagonals to wingers, and reliance on set pieces.

The Football Park data model suggests Cesena’s wide rotations and high press will test Carrarese’s stamina, particularly in the final half-hour. However, the visitors’ counter-attacking potential ensures both teams remain capable of scoring.

Predicted Match Flow

• Opening 25 Minutes: High tempo, Cesena dominate possession, but Carrarese threaten on the break.
• Middle Period (30–70 minutes): Both teams create chances, with BTTS likely confirmed.
• Final Stages: Cesena push for a winner; increased attacking risk could lead to end-to-end action.

Predicted Scoreline

Cesena 2–1 Carrarese – The algorithm’s most probable outcome, consistent with a 75.8% BTTS rate and 2.9 expected total goals.

Cesena vs Carrarese Predictions Summary

Football Park’s model indicates this Serie B encounter will be a high-intensity, attack-driven fixture, with both sides contributing to an entertaining contest. Cesena’s strong home data and Carrarese’s scoring consistency underpin our confidence in the two primary markets.

Football Park’s Key Betting Insights

Main Tip: Cesena to Win @ 2.00

Secondary Tip: Both Teams to Score @ 1.91

Predicted Scoreline: 2–1 Cesena

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Draw

With a projected 2.9 total goals and 75.8% BTTS probability, the data strongly favours both goals markets and a narrow home victory.

Responsible Betting Reminder

Football Park advocates responsible betting. Our algorithmic insights provide evidence-based predictions, but outcomes are never guaranteed. Always bet within your means and treat betting as entertainment, not investment.

Match Facts

Competition: Italy Serie B

Date: Tuesday, 28 October 2025

Kick-off: 19:30 GMT

Venue: Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Referee: To be confirmed

Broadcast & Coverage

The match will be broadcast via Italian domestic networks, with additional live coverage available on regional sports platforms. Full post-match analytics and betting breakdowns will be published on Football Park following the final whistle.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Each forecast combines advanced statistical modelling with tactical expertise to highlight genuine value in football betting markets.

Football Park’s Best Bets for This Fixture:

Cesena to Win @ 2.00

Both Teams to Score @ 1.91

For more algorithm-based Serie B insights and expert football betting previews, stay tuned to Football Park — your trusted source for data-driven football analysis and predictions.