Empoli vs Spezia Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Empoli vs Spezia Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Empoli host Spezia at the Stadio Carlo Castellani on Sunday, 14 September 2025 (18:30 GMT) in Italy’s Serie B. Football Park’s algorithm sees a tight contest, with a huge 60% chance of a draw and Empoli only given a 26.7% probability of victory. With both teams projected to score (60% BTTS probability), the numbers lean towards a 1-1 stalemate as the most likely correct score.

Spezia, however, look the safer pick on value, as the model highlights them with a strong chance of avoiding defeat. Goals are expected on both sides, making the BTTS market another angle for punters.

Key Betting Tip: Spezia Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.57

Match Details

Date: 14 September 2025

Kick-Off: 18:30 GMT

Competition: Italy Serie B

Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli – A 16,800-capacity ground renowned for its tight atmosphere and history of producing dramatic Serie B encounters.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Italy: Sky Sport / DAZN Italia

Europe: DAZN (selected regions)

UK: Live streaming via bet365 and Serie B broadcasters

Empoli vs Spezia Predictions

Home Win Probability: 26.7%

Away Win Probability: 13.3%

Draw Probability: 60%

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

Both Teams to Score Probability: 60%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Spezia Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.57 – 73.3% combined probability (draw + away win).

Both Teams to Score @ 2.05 – 60% probability of both sides finding the net.

Empoli vs Spezia Timeline

26 Jul 2024: Empoli 2-0 Spezia

11 Feb 2023: Empoli 2-2 Spezia

09 Apr 2022: Empoli 0-0 Spezia

29 Oct 2019: Empoli 1-1 Spezia

05 Nov 2017: Empoli 1-1 Spezia

Four of the last five meetings have ended level, with three 1-1 scorelines, underlining the algorithm’s preference for another draw.

Empoli vs Spezia Matches – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 2.60

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 80%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35%

First Half Goals Projection: 1.07 (53% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Spezia Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.57

Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 2.05

The algorithm suggests this clash is more likely to produce a tight draw than a home win, with BTTS markets offering value given both teams’ expected goal tallies. A 1-1 result fits both the head-to-head record and the model’s projection.

Responsible Betting

At Football Park, our predictions are algorithm-driven and based on statistical probabilities. However, football remains unpredictable. Always bet responsibly and within your means.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides data-backed betting insights across Serie B, Serie A, and Europe’s top competitions, helping punters identify value in key markets.