Home Win
Sampdoria 2 - 0 Modena
Who will win?
1
Sampdoria
x
Draw
2
Modena
Sampdoria welcome Modena to the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Monday, 25 August 2025 (19:30 GMT) in Italy Serie B. Football Park’s algorithm gives the hosts a 63.3% probability of victory, making Sampdoria the clear favourites to take three points in Genoa. The data projects a controlled performance from the Blucerchiati, with a likely 2-0 home win and a strong chance of leading from half-time to full-time.
With Sampdoria expected to score more than once and Modena’s away struggles reflected in just a 13.3% win probability, the model highlights strong value in backing the home side and a low-scoring outcome.
Key Betting Tip: Sampdoria to Win @ 2.20
Date: 25 August 2025
Kick-Off: 19:30 GMT
Competition: Italy Serie B
Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa – One of Italy’s oldest football grounds with a capacity of over 33,000, known for its intense atmosphere and history of hosting top-flight clashes.
Referee: TBC
Italy: Sky Sport / DAZN
UK & Europe: Live via bet365 streaming (selected regions)
International: OneFootball App (selected territories)
Home Win Probability: 63.3%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
Draw Probability: 23.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 38.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 32.5%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Sampdoria to Win @ 2.20 – Backed by a 63.3% win probability and home advantage.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 – With only a 32.5% chance of over 2.5 goals, the algorithm points strongly towards a tighter contest.
Sampdoria vs Modena Timeline
08 Feb 2025: Sampdoria 1-0 Modena
03 Feb 2024: Sampdoria 2-2 Modena
Sampdoria remain unbeaten in their last two meetings with Modena, including a narrow 1-0 victory earlier this year.
Expected Match Goals: 2.00
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 42.5%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 32.5%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 12.5%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.10 (80% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Sampdoria to Win @ 2.20
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
Sampdoria’s superior win probability and home edge make them the standout selection. With both teams struggling to consistently deliver high-scoring fixtures, the data points to a disciplined 2-0 home win with under 2.5 goals landing.
Football Park predictions are based on advanced algorithmic analysis of over 200 performance indicators. While probabilities highlight strong value, football can be unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.
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