Benevento vs Potenza Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Benevento vs Potenza Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 19 October 2025 Kick-off: 13:30 GMT Competition: Italy Serie C - Girone C

Match Overview

Benevento return to the Stadio Ciro Vigorito aiming to maintain their dominant home record as they face Potenza in this Serie C encounter. Football Park’s predictive model gives Benevento a commanding 75.7% win probability, reflecting their strong attacking metrics and consistent home performances.

Potenza have shown flashes of potential away from home but remain inconsistent defensively, conceding 2+ goals in four of their last six road fixtures. The data points toward a high-scoring contest, with 3.3 expected match goals and 61.8% probability for Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting that this could be another entertaining match featuring Benevento’s attacking firepower.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s AI-driven model analyses over 200 key performance indicators — including recent form, goal conversion rate, and defensive structure — to project the most likely outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 75.70%

Away Win Probability: 17.70%

Draw Probability: 6.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 54.50%

Expected Match Goals: 3.30

The algorithm’s correct score projection of 3-0 underlines Benevento’s superiority, particularly in attack, while Potenza’s away defensive record reinforces the likelihood of a comfortable home victory.

Key Betting Tips

1. Benevento to Win @ 1.40

Benevento’s home dominance makes this selection the most reliable market. They’ve won five of their last six matches at the Ciro Vigorito, averaging 2.3 goals per game, while Potenza have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten away outings.

Football Park’s model gives the hosts an overwhelming 75.7% chance of victory, supported by historical data — Benevento have beaten Potenza in two of their last three home meetings, scoring nine goals in total. Recommended Bet: Benevento to Win @ 1.40

2. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70

With 3.3 expected match goals and both sides capable of contributing offensively, Over 2.5 Goals presents strong betting value. Benevento’s last five home games have produced an average of 3.4 goals, while Potenza’s away matches have averaged 3.1 goals per game.

Four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides have surpassed the 2.5-goal mark, with Benevento often dictating the tempo through aggressive pressing and wide play. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70

## Head-to-Head Timeline – Benevento vs Potenza Matches

08 Sep 2024: Benevento 4-1 Potenza

18 Aug 2024: Benevento 1-2 Potenza

30 Oct 2023: Benevento 1-0 Potenza

Benevento have held the upper hand in recent matchups, especially at home, where they’ve scored six goals in their last two meetings against Potenza. Despite Potenza’s occasional competitiveness, Benevento’s superior finishing and tactical control have consistently been decisive.

Statistical Breakdown – Benevento vs Potenza Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 81.8% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 61.8% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 38.3% probability

Both Teams to Score: 54.5% probability

Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 87% probability

Football Park’s projections suggest early attacking momentum, with 1.98 expected first-half goals — indicating Benevento’s tendency to start fast, having scored before halftime in eight of their last nine home games.

Betting Outlook

Benevento’s blend of attacking fluidity and home strength makes them strong favourites here. Potenza’s defensive issues away from home amplify the appeal of both Benevento to Win and Over 2.5 Goals.

The most likely scenario is a 3-0 or 3-1 home victory, aligning closely with Football Park’s algorithmic projection. For bettors, this fixture offers both security in the 1X2 market and value in the goals markets.

Responsible Gambling Message

At Football Park, we believe in responsible and informed betting. Our insights are based on rigorous data analysis and statistical modelling — but no prediction is ever guaranteed.

Always set personal limits, wager responsibly, and view betting as a form of entertainment. For guidance or support, visit BeGambleAware.org or your local responsible gaming organisation.