Aluminij vs Maribor Predictions and Betting Tips Predictions

Aluminij vs Maribor Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Aluminij welcome Maribor to the Kidričevo Sports Park on 21 September 2025, with kick-off set for 19:00 GMT in this fiercely contested Slovenian PrvaLiga clash. These two sides have a long-standing rivalry, with Maribor traditionally dominating the head-to-head record, though Aluminij have sprung surprises in recent seasons.

This preview uses Football Park’s algorithm-driven model, which evaluates over 200 advanced data points per match. The model currently projects a 40% win probability for each side, with 20% on a draw, hinting at a tightly balanced contest.

This match is forecast to deliver attacking football and a high tempo — with 2.60 expected total goals and a 56.7% probability that both teams will score, our data points towards a lively encounter in Kidričevo.

Aluminij vs Maribor Timeline

Looking back through the Aluminij vs Maribor matches history shows that while Maribor have had the upper hand overall, Aluminij are capable of troubling them, especially at home:

• 05 Apr 2024 – Aluminij 0-2 Maribor
• 01 Oct 2023 – Aluminij 1-0 Maribor
• 10 Mar 2022 – Aluminij 3-3 Maribor
• 12 Sep 2021 – Aluminij 3-0 Maribor
• 16 Apr 2021 – Aluminij 0-0 Maribor
• 02 Nov 2020 – Aluminij 1-3 Maribor
• 22 Jul 2020 – Aluminij 1-4 Maribor
• 24 Nov 2019 – Aluminij 0-2 Maribor
• 03 Mar 2019 – Aluminij 0-1 Maribor
• 05 Aug 2018 – Aluminij 2-5 Maribor

These results reveal that six of the last ten meetings saw over 2.5 goals, while four saw both teams on the scoresheet, suggesting a pattern of high-scoring outcomes when the tempo rises.

Aluminij vs Maribor Predictions

Our algorithm’s current Aluminij vs Maribor predictions reflect a dead-even matchup on paper, with plenty of attacking potential on both sides:

Home Win Probability: 40%

Away Win Probability: 40%

Draw Probability: 20%

Correct Score Projection: 1-1

Expected Total Goals: 2.60

Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%

Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 70%

Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 55%

Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 87%

Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Draw / Draw

This forecast suggests a balanced encounter with frequent goalmouth action, likely to be decided by fine margins or moments of individual quality in the attacking third.

Best Aluminij vs Maribor Betting Tips

Our in-house analysts have identified two high-value selections based on the strongest percentage outputs from the algorithm:

Best Bet 1: Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 With a 56.7% probability from the model and both teams having scored in four of the last six meetings, BTTS offers strong value at current prices.

Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.73 The model projects 2.60 total goals and a 55% chance of clearing this line, aligning with the recent history of high-scoring fixtures between these sides.

These angles represent the most statistically robust paths into this fixture, combining strong model support with a historically goal-friendly head-to-head trend.

Aluminij vs Maribor Match Facts

Match Odds: Aluminij 4.75 | Draw 3.60 | Maribor 1.67

Most Likely Scoreline: 1-1

Venue: Kidričevo Sports Park, a compact ground that often produces high-intensity, transitional football.

Broadcast Details:

Slovenia: Sportklub

Europe: DAZN (selected territories)

Global: OneFootball (streaming)

Dry, mild autumn conditions are forecast, ideal for a fast-paced match and quick surface ball circulation — which could favour Maribor’s expansive style.

Conclusion – Aluminij vs Maribor Predictions

Football Park’s data-driven model sees no clear favourite between these two sides, with an almost even 40/40 win probability split and plenty of indicators pointing to goals at both ends.

Key Data Points:

40% win chance each

1-1 correct score projection

56.7% BTTS probability

55% Over 2.5 goals probability

Recommended Bets:

Both Teams to Score @ 1.73

Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.73

As always, bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose. For further insights on probability modelling and bankroll strategies, consult Football Park’s value betting guide and beginners’ football betting strategy hub.

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