BTTS Yes
Istanbul Basaksehir 2 - 2 Kayserispor
Who will win?
1
Istanbul Basaksehir
x
Draw
2
Kayserispor
The Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium will host an evenly-matched clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kayserispor on Sunday, August 17, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 GMT in the Turkey Süper Lig. Football Park’s predictive model suggests a rare statistical deadlock, giving 33.30% win probability to each side and an equal 33.30% chance for a draw.
The algorithm points towards goals being the order of the day, with a 3.00 expected goals projection, 70.00% probability of both teams scoring, and a strong lean towards an Over 2.5 Goals outcome. Their most recent meeting in October 2024 ended 1-1, but prior encounters have often been higher scoring, including a 2-3 thriller in February 2024.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – supported by strong offensive data and both teams’ recent head-to-head scoring trends.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.00 – backed by a 70.00% BTTS probability and a high match goals projection.
Our two highest-rated percentage selections for this fixture are:
Both Teams to Score – 70.00% Probability
Over 2.5 Goals – 60.00% Probability
With both sides carrying almost identical win projections, this match shapes up as a tactical and attacking battle, where defensive stability may take a back seat to aggressive forward play.
The model’s combined data points highlight a strong case for a high-scoring draw or narrow win either way. Both teams have scored in each of the last two meetings, with five goals in their February 2024 encounter.
Given the 70.00% projection for BTTS, this market remains attractive, particularly as both sides have looked sharp in attack during recent clashes.
Expect a dynamic start, with both teams projected to score early—87.00% probability of Over 0.5 First Half Goals. Istanbul Basaksehir will look to control possession and dictate tempo, while Kayserispor’s counter-attacking style could exploit gaps left in transition.
Last 10 head-to-heads at this venue: Basaksehir won 7, Kayserispor won 2, 1 draw.
Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
The most common recent result is 1-0 Basaksehir, but recent form suggests a shift towards higher-scoring affairs.
This is shaping up to be one of the most open matches of the Süper Lig weekend. Both sides are well-matched statistically, but the probability model points heavily towards goals.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.00
Both Teams to Score @ 1.67
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