Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

• Match Date: November 9, 2025
• Kick-off (GMT): 11:30
• Competition: Thailand Thai League 1
• Venue: Chonburi Stadium, Chonburi

Chonburi FC welcome Thai champions Buriram United in a highly anticipated Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday morning. This matchup has consistently delivered drama and goals, and Football Park’s algorithm forecasts another open contest. Based on over 200 in-game performance indicators, our predictive model projects a 73.3% probability for Both Teams to Score and an 80% chance of Over 1.5 Goals — both pointing to a lively encounter.

Buriram enter this clash as heavy favourites at 1.40 odds, supported by their superior head-to-head record and attacking form. However, Chonburi’s home advantage and competitive record in recent meetings — including draws and narrow defeats — make them more dangerous than the odds suggest.

Key Betting Tip: Buriram United to Win @ 1.40 and Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 are the standout selections based on Football Park’s predictive analytics and historical data trends.

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm gives Buriram United a 40% chance of winning, compared to 26.7% for Chonburi and 33.3% for a draw. While Buriram’s edge is clear, the model’s 73.3% Both Teams to Score probability signals a close, end-to-end battle.

The data projects 1.3 expected goals for Chonburi and 1.4 for Buriram, aligning with a correct score prediction of 1-2 in favour of the visitors. The expected match goals total of 2.7 reinforces the potential for a multi-goal game — particularly given both clubs’ attacking setups.

Football Park’s Top 2 Rated Betting Selections

Buriram United to Win @ 1.40

Both Teams to Score @ 1.83

These bets align with both teams’ recent data patterns and predictive strength. Buriram’s consistency in converting chances, coupled with Chonburi’s ability to score at home, provides a strong case for these two statistically supported markets.

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Timeline & Previous Meetings

The Chonburi FC vs Buriram United timeline reveals one of Thailand’s most competitive domestic rivalries — with Buriram holding the upper hand over the past decade.

Recent Meetings:

• 10 Mar 2024: Chonburi 1-1 Buriram United
• 27 Aug 2022: Chonburi 2-3 Buriram United
• 13 Nov 2021: Chonburi 2-0 Buriram United
• 07 Apr 2021: Chonburi 2-1 Buriram United
• 26 Dec 2020: Chonburi 0-2 Buriram United

Across their last ten encounters, Buriram United have won six, drawn two, and lost two, with a total of 27 goals scored — averaging 2.7 goals per game. That statistic aligns perfectly with Football Park’s expected match goals figure of 2.7, highlighting the data-backed likelihood of another open contest.

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Lineups & Tactical Overview

While confirmed Chonburi FC vs Buriram United lineups will be released closer to kick-off, Football Park’s model uses tactical and statistical trends to forecast the game flow.

Buriram United are likely to control the midfield through their high-possession, progressive style, operating in a 4-3-3 that focuses on rapid vertical attacks. Their 40% first-half win probability suggests they could strike early — consistent with a 60% chance of Over 0.5 first-half goals.

Chonburi, meanwhile, will look to hit on the counter using pace in transition. Despite being underdogs, they’ve scored in four of their last five home meetings against Buriram. The Half-Time/Full-Time prediction of Draw/Away fits this tactical pattern — Buriram often grow into matches and finish strongly in the final half hour.

Tactical Key Points

Buriram’s dominance in possession contrasts with Chonburi’s compact defensive setup and reliance on counter-attacks.

Football Park projects Over 1.5 Goals at 80% probability, suggesting both teams’ styles will contribute to an attacking contest.

Chonburi’s best path to scoring likely comes from set pieces and quick transitions.

Best Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Betting Tips

Football Park Best Bet 1: Buriram United to Win @ 1.40

With a 40% win probability and a strong historical advantage, Buriram United represent Football Park’s top-rated betting pick. They’ve beaten Chonburi in six of their last ten meetings and scored at least twice in five of those.

Given their superior individual quality, attacking depth, and the model’s projected 1.4 expected away goals, the Buriram Win offers solid value, particularly in accumulator bets or match result markets.

Football Park Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.83

Despite Buriram’s dominance, the 73.3% BTTS probability makes this market extremely attractive. Chonburi’s home scoring consistency — netting in six of their last seven home matches versus Buriram — suggests they can breach the visitors’ defence at least once.

The model’s projection of 1.33 first-half expected goals and Over 0.5 first-half goals at 60% further supports early offensive exchanges that could lead to both teams finding the net before full time.

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Matches – Analytical Overview

Buriram United remain the benchmark for Thai League 1 dominance, but this fixture has historically been closer than their odds might suggest. The current odds market reflects Buriram’s superiority, yet the data indicates both teams will likely score:

• Buriram United Win – 1.40
• Chonburi FC Win – 6.00
• Draw – 4.75
• Both Teams to Score – 1.83
• Over 2.5 Match Goals – 1.53

For bettors seeking value, combining Buriram United Win + BTTS offers strong analytical backing — supported by Football Park’s historical and algorithmic probabilities.

The correct score prediction of 1-2 aligns with the data-driven forecast, making this result a realistic selection in correct-score markets.

Chonburi FC vs Buriram United Predictions Summary

• Most Likely Result: Buriram United 2-1 Chonburi FC
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.3%
• Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
• Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Away
• Key Betting Picks:
• Buriram United to Win @ 1.40
• Both Teams to Score @ 1.83

Football Park’s data suggests that while Buriram are clear favourites, Chonburi’s ability to score at home keeps the market open for BTTS and goal-based bets. Expect an attacking match driven by Buriram’s quality and Chonburi’s countering threat.

Responsible Gambling

At Football Park, we advocate responsible gambling. All predictions are based on algorithmic data and statistical analysis, designed to guide bettors toward informed, value-driven selections. Always bet responsibly and set personal limits to ensure your betting remains enjoyable and sustainable.

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