UEFA Champions League

Away Win
Juventus 0 - 3 Benfica
Who will win?
1
Juventus
x
Draw
2

Benfica
Juventus take on Benfica in a Champions League clash where both sides only have on thing on their agenda - qualification to the next round. Juve are chasing the round of 16 spots by three points, while Benfica sit behind the play-off places by one point and are facing elimination if they can't make that jump up in the remaining two games, so they'll both be throwing everything at this to make it through in their desired positions.
Key Betting Tips: Benfica to Win @ 4.40 odds on Coral, 4.33 odds on BoyleSports or 4.20 odds on Kwiff represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's advanced algorithm.
The visitors have made light work of Juventus across history, especially in recent encounters between the two, and with so much on the line, we anticipate a vintage Jose Mourinho performance to grind out a win of huge value at the Allianz Stadium.
Juventus Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Michele Di Gregorio; Lloyd Kelly, Gleison Bremer, Pierre Kalulu; Andrea Cambiaso, Khéphren Thuram-Ulien, Manuel Locatelli, Weston McKennie; Kenan Yildiz, Fabio Miretti; Jonathan David
A lack of attacking options looks like a worry for Juventus, as Dusan Vlahovic remains out until March and Arkadiusz Milik's fitness is in doubt for this game. Chico Conceicao and Federico Gatti aren't expected to be available yet, but should return to action soon, while Daniele Rugani is anticipated to remain out for a few more weeks.
Benfica Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin; Samuel Dahl, Nicolás Otamendi, Tomás Araújo, Amar Dedić; Richard Ríos, Enzo Barrenechea; Heorhiy Sudakov, Fredrik Aursnes, Andreas Schjelderup; Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica's two confirmed absentees are Dodi Lukebakio and Joao Veloso, while Mourinho will have to wait to see if all three of Henrique Araujo, Samuel Soares and Alezander Bah will be available to play in this fixture given their respective injury and fitness troubles.
Juventus won't be sitting comfortably with their spot in the Champions League table so far, as they come into this game in 17th where both immediate qualification to the next round and elimination are within touching distance at this point. Only two points clear of their opponents in 25th, a poor end to the group stage would be incredibly costly and likely see them dumped out early. Contrastingly, they are just three points away from Atletico in 8th, the position that would send them straight through to the round of 16. To achieve that would require a perfect end to the stage and all the clubs around them to struggle, so I wouldn't bank on it happening, but they'll want to have their play-off place confirmed as early as possible, and a win here would do just that.
Benfica have a lot riding on the final two fixtures of the group stage, as they currently occupy the highest elimination place and are just one point behind the play-off spots as they come into this game. A win would be vital and would take the pressure off of their final group game against Real Madrid, a game that they'll want to avoid turning into an all or nothing scenario. As a result, they're likely to throw everything at winning this game in an effort to secure their play-off place, though it won't be mathematically decided until the final day.
Benfica have run riot against Juventus historically, dominating the head-to-head timeline in both home and away fixtures. In the seven professional matches they've played against each other dating back to 1993, Benfica have won five of them, to which Juventus have responded with a solitary win of their own, with another match ending level, which happened to be the second leg of the 2014 Europa League semi-final that sent Benfica through to the final.
In fact, Juventus haven't beaten Benfica since the UEFA Cup quarter-final in 1993, making it 33 years since their last success against the Portugese side, so they'll have quite the historic hurdle to overcome to beat them this time around.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Juventus Last 5 Matches:
Juventus have looked very strong recently, having gone seven games unbeaten before their unexpected defeat at the hands of Cagliari last time out. Before that, they had kept three clean sheets in their last four games, only conceding once besides from that, which was a result of excellent defensive efforts and organisation. They were also in free scoring form, netting eight times in just two games, which takes their total across the last five up to 11, with just two conceded. That's an excellent record to maintain, and it means they still look strong coming into this, but they need to make sure that they can put the last loss behind them and push on as opposed to letting it commence a dip in form.
Benfica Last 5 Matches:
Prior to their semi-final defeat in the League Cup to Braga, Benfica were on an excellent 11-game unbeaten run, but they will have had their confidence knocked slightly by going on to lose back-to-back games following on from it. Both were in the cup, so they remain unbeaten in the league this season, which would be an excellent feat if they weren't somehow 10 points behind Porto despite not being beaten once, proving how immaculate you have to be to win the Liga Portugal. Defensively they could do with some work, conceding seven in their last five, but they've still got a positive record having scored eight in that time. It's not quite the form they'd like, but the signs are still promising.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 53.30% confidence in Benfica to Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Benfica to Win @ 4.40 odds on Coral - Benfica hold the historic advantage over Juventus having beaten them plenty before, especially in recent years. Despite their domestic cup losses, they still look strong coming into this, and with avoiding elimination on the line, they'll be bound to throw the kitchen sink at this, so despite it being a slightly unlikely outcome for the neutral to expect, we think Benfica will come out on top.
Kenan Yildiz (Juventus): Yildiz remains one of the most exciting young talents in Europe, dropping performances far beyond his years at the age of just 20. His ability on the ball is unquestionable, both in beating his man and carrying it forward and in being able to find killer passes to create golden chances. Typically on the left side of the attacking midfield, he excels in finding space either inside or on the wing to spread the play and open the defence up, either to exploit gaps himself or create opportunities for others to. With seven goals and four assists to his name in Serie A so far this season, the young Turkey international's game goes beyond the numbers, with his impact on the pitch clear to see.
Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica): The Greek striker has been setting the standard for Benfica going forward with brilliant scoring form this season, averaging almost a goal a game (unlike Eni Aluko, I actually mean it) in Liga Portugal with 17 goals in 18 appearances. Now on 23 goals in all competitions this season, which is an excellent return for this stage in the season, Pavlidis will be hoping to take this opportunity to improve his record in the Champions League, in which he has only found the net once in this campaign so far. He offers a serious threat in front of goal owing to his prolific scoring ability and how much he gets involved in the play in the final third, making him someone that should bring a lot of entertainment to the game if he can get service against a strong Juventus defence.
Broadcast Details: TNT Sports 5, Discovery+ UK
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Stadium Information: Located in Turin, Italy, the Juventus Stadium, which has been called the Allianz Stadium since 2017 for sponsorship reasons, has a capacity of 41,689. Opened in 2011, it was quickly turned into a fortress by the Old Lady, who lost just three of their first 100 games in the stadium.
Juventus 0-3 Benfica
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