Villarreal vs Ajax: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Villarreal vs Ajax: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 20 2026 | Estadio de la Ceramica | UEFA Champions League - Round 7 | 20:00 GMT

A very important match for both teams as they currently sit at the bottom of the table in the UEFA Champions League. Villarreal will be looking for any type of point so that they can end the league phase and most likely their Champions League run with at least a win on the bored. Ajax will be hoping that they can collect a win as they still have a slight chance of getting through to the next round however, that is only possible if they get all 3 points from this game. Our advanced algorithm has predicted that Ajax will keep their chances alive and walk away with a 3-2 win from this match.

Key Betting Tips: There to be over 3.5 goals scored in this match at 2.1 – this represents excellent value based on tips provided to us by our team of in-house tipsters.

Villarreal vs Ajax Predicted Lineups

Villarreal Predicted Lineup (4-4-2): Junior, Mourino, Foyth, Veiga, Pedraza, Buchanan, Parejo, Comesana, Molerio, Perez, Mikautadze

Ajax Preicted Lineup (4-3-3): Jaros, Wijndal, Itakura, Sutalo, Rose, Steur, Regeer, Klaassen, Godts, Dolberg, Gloukh

Recent Villarreal and Ajax Match Analysis

Last 5 Villarreal matches: Villarreal 2-3 FC Kobenhavn (H) UEFA Champions League Racing Santander 2-1 Villarreal (A) Copa Del Rey Villarreal 0-2 Barcelona (H) LaLiga Elche 1-3 Villarreal (A) LaLiga Villarreal 3-1 Deportivo Alaves (H) LaLiga

Some good form in the last 2 matches for Villarreal as they have managed to get 2 straight wins. However, before that, it wasn’t ideal having seen 3 straight losses with 2 of them being in cup competitions. They have struggled to defend in their last 5 matches failing to keep a single clean sheet and conceding 9 goals in the last 5 matches. However, the last 2 matches they have managed to keep the damage down as much as possible conceding around what their xG said they should have conceded while also scoring around double what their xG was. This would have boosted their confidence significantly going into this penultimate UCL match.

Last 5 Ajax Matches: Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord (H) Eredivisie Excelsior 2-7 Ajax (A) KNVB Cup NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax (A) Eredivisie Telstar 2-3 Ajax (A) Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax (A) KNVB Cup

Some strong form recently for Ajax having managed to win 3 lose 1 and draw 1. However, they have had their struggles with their defence being one, excluding the 6-0 loss, they have conceded 6 goals in 4 games and had only kept a single clean sheet. While their attack has been good, conceding this many goals has cased issues for them and has seen their away form drop a bit especially as the only clean sheet that they managed to keep was a home game, since then they have played 4 away game and failed to keep a clean sheet conceding at least 2 goals in every game. This than all came to an end in the last match they played and where they could’ve seen their confidence destroyed after losing 6-0 to a team that sits 5 points below them in the league. They will need to hope that this away day allows them to find their away form again and give their defence some confidence again.

Villarreal vs Ajax Predictions

Our advanced algorithm has analysed over 200 pieces of data and predicted with a 60% confidence that there will be over 3.5 goals scored in this game. The key factors that allow this prediction are players available, current form, and tactical matchups.

Best Villarreal vs Ajax Betting Tip

Football Park’s Best Bet: There to be over 3.5 goals scored @ 2.10 odds. This is based on predictions made by our team of in-house tipsters as a result of both team’s poor defence and their recent ability to score 2 or more goals per game.

Key Players to Watch: Villarreal vs Ajax

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal): The 22-year-old wide midfielder has been having a very good season so far with 11 goal contributions in his first 18 league matches. He has started to become the largest threat to goal that Villarreal have scoring just under what his xG says he should’ve and scoring 50% of shots on target that he has had this season. To add onto this his 3 assists and 21 chances created, you can see why he has become such a threat for Villarreal and if they are going to win this match, he will need to work some magic and get his first goal contributions in Europe.

Mika Godts (Ajax): Another young wide player makes the list this time it’s Godts who has contributed to 14 goals and assists in 16 matches so far this season. Currently he is providing a goal or assists just over every 90 minutes being one of their best forwards this season and he will be the player who creates and makes something happen for Ajax. If they manage to qualify for the next round of the UCL he will be the main reason for that.