UEFA Europa Conference League


BTTS Yes
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Who will win?
1

Aberdeen
x
Draw
2

Strasbourg
Scotland's own Aberdeen face French side Strasbourg in the fifth round of Conference League group stage matches, in a game that the hosts need to win to keep hopes of survival alive. The play-offs are still in reach for Aberdeen, but they've also yet to win a game in Europe this season, so failure to win against what could be a difficult opponent could make their final few matches very nervy.
Key Betting Tips: BTTS at 1.73 odds on Parimatch, or 1.70 odds on both Kwiff and BoyleSports, represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's algorithm.
Alternative Betting Tip: Aberdeen Double Chance at 2.20 odds on BoyleSports, or 2.15 odds on Parimatch is another bet that looks like good value.
There's been plenty of goals in recent games for both sides, so the likelihood for BTTS is quite high. Aberdeen winning isn't a hugely likely outcome, but the odds are good enough for a Double Chance that it may be worth considering, but BTTS is definitely the safer option.
Aberdeen Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Dimitar Mitov; Mats Knoester, Jack Milne, Nicky Devlin; Alexander Jensen, Adli Aouchiche, Dante Polvara, Dylan Lobban; Stuart Armstrong, Jesper Karlsson; Marko Lazetic
Jimmy Thalin should only have a couple of injuries to consider as Kristers Tobers and Gavin Molloy have both picked up knee injuries. Tobers should return in the next few weeks, while Molloy is expected to be out until late January.
Strasbourg Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Mike Penders; Mamadou Sarr, Andrew Omobamidele, Guéla Doué; Ben Chilwell, Ismaël Doukouré, Samir El Mourabet, Diego Moreira; Julio Enciso, Sebastian Nanasi; Joaquin Panichelli
Several players should be returning to the Strasbourg ranks in the next few weeks, but none of them are expected to be available for this game, including Maxi Oyedele, Karl-Johan Johnsson and Abdoul Ouattara. Saidou Sow and Emanuel Emegha look as though they should be fit at the start of the new year.
As previously mentioned, Aberdeen's record in the Conference League hasn't been great this season, with two draws and two losses from their opening half of fixtures. Despite this, they sit only three points behind Rijeka in 24th, a position that would see them qualify for the Round of 16 play-offs. They hold one of the worst defensive records in the competition this season, though, so solidifying at the back is going to be crucial as they face a team who pose a threat going forward. Domestically, it's also not been good showing for the hosts, who are down in sixth and only goal difference ahead of the bottom six. They've had an upturn in form recently, so let's see if they can translate that into a result in Europe.
Strasbourg have looked really good in the Conference League, sitting pretty up in second place as they enter this game. They achieved a statement win against Crystal Palace in their last European outing, and will be looking for a result here to better their chances of immediate qualification for the Round of 16. They've not had such a great time in Ligue Un lately, though, as they have lost four of their last five matches in the league, which has seen them drop out of the European qualification places and into eighth. As a result, a win here would be good for their European prospects, but most importantly, it could give them a much needed confidence boost to take back into their domestic fixtures and turn their form around.
Aberdeen and Strasbourg have never crossed paths before, so once again the new European formats are bringing us never before seen ties. Let's see who can come out on top and set a historic precedent over the other.
Aberdeen Last 5 Matches:
Aberdeen enter this match on an eight game unbeaten streak, which is the exact kind of form you'd like to be in approaching a big European tie. The result worth looking at most in their last five was the statement win against Hearts, which made Aberdeen the only side to have beaten the league leaders so far this season. Their draw against Noah meant that they are still yet to win a game in the Conference League this season, so if they want to qualify for the play-offs, they'll need to pick up a result here. Scoring nine goals in their last five is a positive record to hold, and their defensive record would look really good if it wasn't for the three goals they conceded against St. Mirren, which has let their stats down massively.
Strasbourg Last 5 Matches:
An inability to find form will be frustrating Strasbourg at the moment, who will be wanting to avoid a three match losing streak in this game. Beating Crystal Palace was a great result, though they didn't make it easy for themselves, and were frankly quite lucky that the Eagles hit the woodwork from two gifted opportunities. They'll need to sure up the weaknesses that they've exposed recently to get a good result here, though their European form has been excellent this season, so their main concern will be getting a result for confidence sake.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with an 80.00% confidence in BTTS. In terms of Aberdeen Double Chance, the algorithm gives Aberdeen a 50.00% chance of a Win, and a 30.00% chance of a draw. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: BTTS @ 1.73 odds on Parimatch - Both sides look likely to be able to find the net in this game, given their respective scoring form, and betting on a winner may be a little too risky given the chances of BTTS.
Stuart Armstrong (Aberdeen): The versatile midfielder has been in excellent form in recent weeks, grabbing two assists in his last two games. The assists are a testament to his ability to create chances in this Aberdeen side, where he has been crucial in breaking down opposition defences and feeding his teammates good opportunities. While some may remember him for the six years he spent at Southampton, the Scots among us will be well aware of his over 50 caps for the Scotland national team, a number to be proud of for Armstrong.
Joaquin Panichelli (Strasbourg): In 19 total appearances for Strasbourg, Argentinian forward Panichelli has scored 10 goals. You do the maths, that's a goal a game. In all seriousness, that's a good return for a young striker, but he's lost his way in front of goal lately and will be desperate to rediscover his scoring form. He's formidable in the air and isn't afraid to get involved in the build-up play, so it looks like it'll be quite a physical battle for the Aberdeen back line.
Broadcast Details: TNT Sports 4 and Discovery+ UK
Referee: Robert Schröder
Stadium Information: Located in Aberdeen, the Pittodrie Stadium has been the home of Aberdeen FC since the club's formation in 1903, and has a capacity of 19,274.
Aberdeen 2-1 Strasbourg
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