FSV Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: August 28, 2025 | MEWA Arena | UEFA Conference League Play-Off | 20:00 BST

After an upset victory in the first leg for the Norwegian side, German club Mainz face a steep task at home if they are to qualify for the league phase of the Conference League. Rosenborg take a 2-1 lead to Germany on Thursday knowing that any result that isn’t a loss in 90 minutes will see them advance to the main draw on Friday.

Key Betting Tip: Rosenborg Double Chance and BTTS at 3.5 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

Mainz vs Rosenborg Predicted Lineups

Mainz Predicted XI: Robin Zentner; Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa; Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci; Jae-Sung Lee, Nelson Weiper, Paul Nebel.

Rosenborg Predicted XI: Sander Tangvik; Adrian Pereira, Tomas Nemcik, Mikkel Ceïde, Aslak Witry; Simen Nordli, Ole Selnæs, Santeri Väänänen, Jesper Reitan-Sunde; Emil Ceïde, Dino Islamović.

Mainz are forced into one change, after injury to usual number 9, Benedict Hollerbach, Weiper will come into replace him.

As for Rosenborg, they will most likely stick to the XI who gave them this advantage. Ole Sæter will look to make another huge impact off the bench after his winner in Norway last week.

In terms of injuries and suspensions, Hollerbach will be out for the German side for a month through a hamstring injury and joins Maxim Dal who is expected to be sidelined until January with an acl injury. Noah Sahsah is out for Thursday’s visitors and will miss the trip to Germany because of a long-term knee injury.

Mainz vs Rosenborg Current League Standings

Mainz got their league campaign underway on Sunday, as they suffered a poor defeat to newly promoted 1.FC Köln. They did win in the DFB-Pokal first round but overall, they have struggled to get off to a good start to the season.

As for Rosenborg, they are just outside the top four in the Eliteserien with 40% of the league campaign to play. Victory in their game in hand against Sandefjord will see them fly into fourth place.

Mainz vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head Timeline

With these sides operating in leagues in countries thousands of kilometres away from each other, they do not often face each other on the pitch. The first leg was their first meeting, with goals from Islamovic and Sæter completing the comeback as they won 2-1 to give them a slender advantage and hope of knocking out a team from Europe’s top five leagues.

Mainz and Rosenborg Recent Matches Analysis

Mainz Last 5 Matches:

• Mainz 0-1 1.FC Köln (H) – Bundesliga
• Mainz 1-2 Rosenborg (A) – Conference League
• Mainz 1-0 Dynamo Dresden (A) – DFB-Pokal
• Mainz 0-0 Strasbourg (H) – Club Friendly
• Mainz 3-2 Crystal Palace (A) – Club Friendly

Their very successful pre-season has not been replicated in the start o Mainz’s competitive season so far, with their only victory coming against newly promoted tier two side Dresden.

Rosenborg Last 5 Matches:

• Rosenborg 2-1 Mainz (H) – Conference League
• Rosenborg 1-0 Hammarby (A) – Conference League
• Rosenborg 0-0 Hammarby (H) – Conference League
• Rosenborg 1-4 KFUM (A) – Eliteserien
• Rosenborg 2-0 Banga Gargzdai (A) – Conference League

Rosenborg entered the competition in the second round of qualifying, where they cruised past Lithuania’s Banga 7-0 over two legs, before narrowly defeating Swedish side Hammarby 1-0 on aggregate. They now find themselves 90 minutes away from a historic qualifying journey.

Mainz vs Rosenborg Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a Rosenborg double chance and Both Teams to Score victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Mainz vs Rosenborg Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Rosenborg Double Chance and BTTS @ 3.5 - Recent form suggests confidence in Rosenborg to Win or Draw. With a lot on the line and only a one goal difference, neither team can afford to sit back and defend and must both attack to force the other to crumble. Both teams will be desperate to qualify to this competition, and they will both have the belief at the stage that they can knock out the other.

Key Players to Watch: Mainz vs Rosenborg

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz): The club captain will need to guide his team to victory. The best rated player last season, and the scorer of the German side’s goal in the first leg, Amiri’s contributions on an off the ball will be vital if Mainz are to complete the comeback.

Dino Islamovic (Rosenborg): The Montenegrin striker has scored eight in his 15 matches in the Eliteserien this campaign, and has already bagged five during this European qualifying so far. Can he add to his goal against Mainz in the first leg and become a hero?

Mainz vs Rosenborg Match Facts

Referee: Sander van der Eijk (NED). The experience Dutch official has handed out an average of 3.16 yellow cards per match on his 244-game professional career. A more lenient referee, he tends to let the game play, suggested by his previous game in Conference League Qualifying when he handed out two cards.

Broadcast Details:

UK: TNT Sports at 20:00 BST.

Stadium Information: Located in southwest Germany, Mainz’s MEWA Arena is a multi-purpose stadium, that can host up to 34,000 spectators.

Mainz vs Rosenborg: Final Prediction

Mainz 1-1 Rosenborg