Over 2.5
Sparta Prague 3 - 1 Riga
Who will win?
1
Sparta Prague
x
Draw
2
Riga
It all comes down to this. After three rounds of European qualification, we enter the UEFA Conference League Play-off round. You win this tie, you qualify for the league phase; if you lose, then no more European nights this season for you. We head to Prague, where Sparta Praha take on Latvian outfit Riga FC for a place in UEFA’s third tier competition.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 2.52 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Sparta Predicted XI: Peter Jensen; Asger Sørensen, Adam Sevinsky, Emmanuel Uchenna; Matej Rynes, Kaan Kairinen, Magnus Andersen, Pavel Kaberabek; Lukas Haraslin, Jan Kuchta, Veljko Birmancevic.
Riga Predicted XI: Krisjanis Zviedris; Mouhamed Ngom, Antonijs Cermomordijs, Baba Musah, Raivis Jurkovskis; Ahmed Ankrah; Joao Grimaldo, Iago Siqueira, Orlando Galo, Meïssa Diop; Reginaldo Ramires.
There are just the two injured players out for this match, both for the hosts. Filip Panak picked up a recent knock and will be out for the rest of the month, while Jaroslav Zeleny felt some physical discomfort recently and is a doubt for Thursday’s tie.
Sparta are only a handful of matches into the Czechia domestic season, but they are unbeaten so far this season in five matches and have lost just once during the qualification phases so far.
As for Riga, they are currently headed towards the end of the 2025 Virsliga season, and they sit at the top of the standings, however, are just three points ahead of rivals RFS heading into the business end.
Due to both clubs playing their football in different European countries, they would only be able to meet in continental competition, which these have not done thus far. So, with this high-stakes-tie around the corner, let’s dive into their recent matches.
Sparta Last 5 Matches:
The Czechia side are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions and are in excellent shape heading into this tie. They have bagged 12 goals in their five recent matches and have conceded just three times.
Riga Last 5 Matches:
Before their second leg defeat in Israel in the last round of qualifying, Riga were on an unbeaten run of 25 matches. The last time they were kept scoreless was last August, with the tie due to take place 361 days since their last scoreless match. Riga have scored nine in recent games, but are weak at the back, shipping four too.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a large scoring game and both teams to score. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.52 - Recent form suggests confidence in a BTTS victory. Both sides have been in great form domestically, and although Sparta are heavy favourites and will most likely win the game, we can also see Riga finding a goal, due to their scoring record and Sparta only keeping one clean sheet thus far through their European matches.
Pavel Kaderabek (Sparta Prague): The ex-Hoffenheim man recently returned to his boyhood club, and he will be eager to use his wealth of experience earned in the Bundesliga to inspire his side to Conference League qualification. His driving runs up and down the right flank have proved crucial so far too, earning him a goal and two assists so far.
Reginaldo Ramires (Riga): The 24-year-old has registered nine goals domestically this campaign and will be the key to any goals on Thursday. He will need to lead from the front to ensure his side can take something to build from back to Latvia.
Referee: Enea Jorgji (ALB). In the Albanian’s 369 match career, he hands out an average of just shy of 3 yellow cards per match.
Stadium Information: Located in the Czechia capital, the epet ARENA can hold just over 18,000 supporters and is sure to bring a rowdy crowd as they look to rally their team on as they seek more European nights to come this season.
Sparta Prague 3-1 Riga
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