

Home Win
Aston Villa 2 - 1 RB Salzburg
Who will win?
1

Aston Villa
x
Draw
2

RB Salzburg
We come to you with action from the UEFA Europa League in a crucial match for both sides, looking to confirm their destinies at both ends of the table as Aston Villa welcome Red Bull Salzburg to Villa Park on Thursday evening.
Both sides were in action last week in Europe, and both incurred strong results. Villa came away with a huge win over Fenerbahce to keep their hopes of first place alive as they hope to do enough to topple leaders Lyon this week. Meanwhile, Salzburg earned a crucial win over Basel in order to keep their own hopes alive – of reaching the top 24 that is, so the Austrians have a lot to do here.
Football Park believes this game has the tools to offer up an entertaining clash, but we find it hard to look past the in-form Birmingham side here.
Key Betting Tip: Aston Villa to win at 1.42 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.
This match looks exciting from a home win outlook. Villa have been incredible so far in all competitions this term, winning six of their seven games in Europe and sit just four points off Arsenal in the race for a first Premier League title – enough said.
odds subject to change.
Alternative Tip: We are also looking at goals at both ends as an appealing line. Although Villa have conceded four goals in Europe (one at home), Salzburg must win if they want to progress, so could force quite an open game. If Unai Emery isn’t fussed over getting first either, he could weaken his lineup, giving Salzburg a better chance to score.
Aston Villa Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Emi Martinez; Ian Maatsen, Pau Torres, Ezri Konsa, Matty Cash; Youri Tielemans, Amadou Onana; Emi Buendia, Morgan Rogers, Jadon Sancho; Ollie Watkins.
Team News: Villa will be missing some key names such as Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, Ross Barkley, and Alysson Edward who are all sidelined.
Salzburg Predicted XI (4-3-3): Alexander Schlager; Frans Kratzig, Jannik Schuster, Joane Gadou, Tim Trummer; Mads Bistrup, Soumalia Diabate, Sota Kitano; Kerim Alajbegovic, Yorbe Vertessen, Edmund Baidoo.
Team News: For the Austrian side, John Mellberg and Takumu Kawamura will both miss out through injury.
The Villans have looked near unbeatable so far this term, with their only defeat coming on match day three to Dutch outfit Go Ahead Eagles. They have shown their strength however, with some strong wins over Bologna, Feyenoord, and Fenerbahce without conceding. They do sit second, and due to goal difference to Lyon will require them to drop points if they are to overtake.
As for Salzburg, it has been a tough European journey this season, starting back in August when they were knocked out Champions League qualification against Club Brugge. They didn’t start well, losing all of their opening three games, but have bounced back well to win two of their next four. They currently sit in 28th on six points, but will have to win in Birmingham and likely require multiple sides in that area to drop points.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
In the last 15 years, these sides have met on just four occasions, with the last one coming in 2017. Juve’s record in this matchup is almost unblemished, with them having won three of these matches, with the other ending in a draw. The last match here ended 2-0 to Juve, with Gonzalo Higuain scoring a brace for the Old Lady.
Villa Last 5 Matches:
Despite a tricky run of fixtures, Villa have remained to look as strong as ever, with their performance domestically almost certain to see them return to the UCL next season. They did lose to Everton, but that is their only defeat in their last six games, which included a tough win over Tottenham to make it to the fourth round of the FA Cup.
Salzburg Last 5 Matches:
During their recent winter break, Salzburg have been continuing to get those reps in, and despite a mauling to Bayern Munich, their retakes have proved to be positive. Victory over Basel proved this, and it will be a very tricky task to beat Aston Villa, but they will do everything they can.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a home win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Aston Villa to win @ 1.42 - Recent form suggests confidence in a home win. With a staggering 60% chance of a Villa victory according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.
Morgan Rogers (Villa): The 23-year-old has been Villa shining star this season, with him scoring seven goals in the league, finding five assists in just 23 games. He hasn’t been as strong in Europe, but playing at his home of Villa Park could spark the midfielder to score.
Yorbe Vertessen (Salzburg): For a team who are yet to win away in Europe this term, Salzburg will desperately need their top scorer Vertessen to step up and provide the goods in this do-or-die clash. The Belgian has three goals on the European stage so far, but will need more if his team are to qualify for the top 24.
Referee: Information not available.
Broadcast Details:
UK/INT’L: Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 at 20:00 GMT.
Stadium Information: Located in Birmingham, England, Villa Park can hold up to just over 43,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed in what could be a season-defining clash for both.
Aston Villa 2-1 Red Bull Salzburg

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