Úrvalsdeild
Over 3.5
Breidablik 3 - 2 Vikingur Reykjavik
Who will win?
1
Breidablik
x
Draw
2
Vikingur Reykjavik
Match Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025 Kick-off: 20:15 GMT Competition: Iceland Úrvalsdeild
Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik meet in what promises to be another thrilling, high-scoring Icelandic top-flight clash. Both sides rank among the most attack-minded teams in the league, and Football Park’s data model projects an expected total of 4.1 goals — one of the highest tallies across this matchday.
Recent meetings between the clubs have been goal-heavy, with six of their last seven encounters producing over 3.5 goals. Breidablik’s attacking output at home and Vikingur’s counter-attacking prowess suggest another open, end-to-end battle under the lights in Kópavogur.
Football Park’s advanced analytics model combines form data, chance creation rates, and historical match patterns to deliver the following probabilities:
Home Win Probability: 40.00%
Away Win Probability: 33.30%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 83.30%
Expected Match Goals: 4.10
The model’s predicted correct score of 3-2 highlights the attacking nature of both teams and the high likelihood of goals across both halves.
With an 83.3% probability of both sides scoring and over 4 expected total goals, this is the standout betting selection. Breidablik have scored 3+ goals in four of their last six home games, while Vikingur have found the net in 11 consecutive league fixtures.
Their last five head-to-heads have averaged 4.2 goals per match, making this market statistically the strongest and most consistent bet. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.67
For bettors seeking higher odds, the Over 3.5 Goals line offers solid value at even money. Football Park’s model gives this a 60% success probability, and considering the attacking output on both sides, it’s well-supported by the data.
Each of their last three encounters in Kópavogur has hit this mark (3-1, 3-2, 3-1), showing both sides’ commitment to attacking football from the outset.
Recommended Bet: Over 3.5 Match Goals @ 2.00
01 Jun 2025: Breidablik 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
30 May 2024: Breidablik 1-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
25 Sep 2023: Breidablik 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
02 Jun 2023: Breidablik 2-2 Vikingur Reykjavik
04 Apr 2023: Breidablik 3-2 Vikingur Reykjavik
29 Oct 2022: Breidablik 1-0 Vikingur Reykjavik
31 Aug 2022: Breidablik 0-3 Vikingur Reykjavik
15 Aug 2022: Breidablik 1-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
02 Aug 2021: Breidablik 4-0 Vikingur Reykjavik
10 May 2019: Breidablik 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
This rivalry consistently delivers goals. Across their last ten meetings, both sides have scored in eight, and matches have averaged 3.6 total goals, reinforcing the expectation of another high-scoring affair.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 95% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 80% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 60% probability
Both Teams to Score: 83% probability
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 87% probability
With 1.93 expected first-half goals, early action looks inevitable. Both sides favour fast starts and have combined for 12 first-half goals in their last five meetings.
Football Park’s algorithm expects an intense, attack-heavy encounter, with both teams creating numerous scoring chances. Breidablik’s home advantage slightly tips the balance, but Vikingur’s ability to score on the break ensures this won’t be one-sided.
The Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS market offers excellent value for balanced bettors, while Over 3.5 Goals presents an enticing alternative for those chasing higher returns. Expect an open, high-scoring contest — the type that defines Icelandic football.
At Football Park, we believe betting should enhance your enjoyment of football — not replace it. Our predictions are built on statistical modelling and data analysis, not guarantees.
Always bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling becomes difficult to control, visit BeGambleAware.org or contact your local gambling support service for confidential help.
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