Away Win
Everton 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Who will win?
1
Everton
x
Draw
2
Aston Villa
The first international break of the 2025/26 season is over and top-tier European football returns. Here, we have match 4 of the Premier League where Everton return to action, hosting Aston Villa, with the visitors seeking a positive response following their winless start to the campaign.
Key Betting Tips: Aston Villa to Win at 2.8 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.
Everton Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford; Vitaliy Mykolenko, Michael Keane, James Tarkowski, Jake O’Brien; Idrissa Gueye, James Garner; Jack Grealish, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye; Beto.
Due to availability and form, David Moyes could very well go for a similar lineup to the side which faced Wolves prior to the break. The Toffees will be without Adam Aznou, Jarrod Branthwaite, and Nathan Patterson for the visit of Villa.
Aston Villa Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot; Lucas Digne, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash; John McGinn, Youri Tielemans; Emi Buendia, Morgan Rogers, Donyell Malen; Ollie Watkins.
Despite Emi Martinez’s transfer falling through and him now staying at Villa Park until January at least, it seems Unai Emery has made up his mind on the Argentine, almost confirming Bizot as his number one in his press conference before the international break. Therefore, we expect a similar backline, with Konsa partnering Mings in the central defence.
Changes around the midfield area have been required over these past couple matches due to injuries to both Amadou Onana and Boubacar Kamara. Andres Garcia and Ross Barkley are also doubts for the trip to Merseyside.
There have been three matches played so far in the Premier League this season; Everton have started the campaign strongly, bouncing back from an opening day defeat to Leeds, by acquiring six important points against Brighton and Wolves to put them in the top five.
As for the Villains, it has been a very troublesome start to the season. Emery’s side have only won more points than rivals Wolves. A draw on the opening day versus Newcastle seemed like a good point overall, however, losses to both Brentford and Crystal Palace have left them with a steep hill to climb, especially with them having to enter Europe and the EFL Cup in the coming weeks.
In the past 24 head-to-head results in this competition, stretching back to 2010, it is Villa who have the better of the Premier League’s ever-present Toffees – with 11 wins to six, with seven draws. In the five recent meetings, it is much the same, with Villa earning four wins, with the other being a goalless draw.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
The last time the teams met was in Merseyside in January, with an early first half goal from Ollie Watkins being enough to give Villa all three points.
Everton Last 5 Matches:
Everton come into this game on a three-match win streak and will not go down easy at their new stadium on Saturday, having also scored two goals in each of these last three matches.
Aston Villa Last 5 Matches:
It hasn’t been an ideal start to the campaign for Aston Villa, having not only gone winless in the opening matches, but they are also yet to register a single goal.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in an Aston Villa victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ 2.8 - Recent form suggests confidence in a Villa victory. We have leant more on head-to-head records for this fixture. The international break no doubt came at a good time for Emery to be able to figure what has gone so badly so far, so they will be much better prepared for this game on Saturday and will be eager to get three points on the board.
Jack Grealish (Everton): Against Wolves, Grealish made a bit of club history in just his third match as an Evertonian as he became their first player to register 2+ assists in consecutive Premier League matches. He has certainly hit the ground running in Liverpool, and he will hope his career will continue to be redeemed at Everton for the rest of this season.
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton): Another summer signing for Everton, KDH was a bit of an outcast at Chelsea last season, but he is coming into his own for Everton already, registering a goal and assist for his new club in just three games.
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa): With Villa still not having scored a goal this season, they will need their forward to step up on Saturday. Watkins has scored three goals in his last two games against Everton, and his services will be required if Villa are to earn their first win of the season.
Referee: Simon Hooper (ENG). The vastly experienced English official has overseen almost 500 professional matches in his career, and hands out an average of 2.91 yellow cards per match. So far this campaign, however, this number increased to 5.33 per match, while in the 2024/25, he handed out an average of 4.88 in 24 fixtures.
Stadium Information: Located in Liverpool, the Hill Dickinson Stadium is the new home to Everton Football Club. The venue is expected to be host venue for the 2028 UEFA Euros. It opened its doors for this new season and can capacitate a crowd of up to just over 50,000.
Everton 1-2 Aston Villa
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