Home Win
Austria 2 - 1 Liechtenstein
Who will win?
1
Austria
x
Draw
2
Liechtenstein
Austria host San Marino in a one-sided World Cup Qualifier on October 9, 2025 (17:00 GMT) at the Ernst Happel Stadion in Vienna. This fixture pits a dominant Austrian side against a visiting team expected to sit deep and defend from the first whistle.
Using Football Park’s advanced data model, Austria are assigned a 70% chance of victory, while San Marino's win probability is a modest 10%. With 2.7 expected match goals and a projected 2-1 correct score, this clash should deliver goals despite the visitors’ likely defensive shape.
Key Betting Tip: Austria to Win @ 1.01 remains the model’s safest selection, while additional value may lie in the goals markets, given a strong historical trend for high-scoring home performances in Vienna.
Football Park’s predictive model leaves little room for surprise — Austria are expected to dominate throughout. The model gives the hosts a 70% chance of victory, supported by a 60% likelihood of leading at half-time and a Home/Home half-time/full-time projection.
San Marino's low attacking output means Austria’s defensive control should remain firm. The algorithm forecasts 1.9 home goals against just 0.8 for the visitors, aligning with the 2-1 correct score prediction.
While Austria are clear favourites, San Marino's defensive structure could still allow for occasional counterattacking moments — contributing to the 76% probability for Both Teams to Score.
Football Park’s top-rated selections, based on model confidence and current market odds, are:
Austria to Win @ 1.01 – Backed by a 70% win probability, this is the standout banker selection. Austria’s superior individual quality and home advantage make this one of the most predictable outcomes of the international round.
Both Teams to Score @ 3.00 – With a 76% BTTS probability, the data model points to San Marino potentially grabbing a consolation goal. Austria’s recent home fixtures have shown defensive lapses in late stages when comfortably ahead.
These two markets combine strong statistical backing with betting value across short and mid-priced odds, providing balanced risk for bettors.
The Austria vs San Marino timeline suggests an aggressive start from the hosts. With a 70% chance of Over 0.5 First Half Goals and a 30% probability of Over 1.5, expect Austria to take control early.
Our algorithm indicates Austria are most likely to score inside the opening 25 minutes, supported by a 60% probability of leading at half-time. San Marino, meanwhile, are projected to see more possession only after the 75th minute, when the hosts may rotate and conserve energy.
For in-play bettors, the late goal markets may offer value, particularly between minutes 75–90, where Austria’s substitutes have historically added further scoring chances.
Historically, Austria vs San Marino matches have been one-sided affairs. In their last five competitive meetings, Austria have won every encounter, often by two or more goals.
Football Park’s model projects 2.7 total goals — consistent with past results where Austria average over two goals per match at home against low-ranking opposition. Given San Marino's limited offensive threat but high BTTS probability, a 2-1 or 3-0 result fits the expected trend perfectly.
Football Park’s data-driven projection expects Austria to dominate both territorially and statistically, maintaining pressure from the first half through to full time. San Marino are unlikely to threaten Austria’s control but could still find the net once, fitting the Both Teams to Score model outlook.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Austria
Football Park’s Best Bets:
Austria to Win @ 1.01
Both Teams to Score @ 3.00
These bets align with Football Park’s high-confidence model outputs and offer consistent value across single and combination markets.
Referee: To Be Confirmed Broadcast Details:
UK: Viaplay Sports
Europe: ORF / DAZN
Global: FIFA+ (selected territories)
Venue Information: The Ernst Happel Stadion in Vienna, Austria’s largest football venue, has a capacity of 50,000 and has historically favoured attacking football, averaging 3.1 goals per match in international qualifiers since 2020.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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