Poland vs Netherlands Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Poland vs Netherlands Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: November 10, 2025 | Stadion Narodowy, Warsaw | World Cup Qualifier | 19:45 GMT

Monday night delivers a pivotal Group G showdown as Poland host the Netherlands in the penultimate round of 2026 World Cup qualifying. The Oranje lead the section with an impeccable record, but the Eagles, buoyed by home support and a gritty draw in Rotterdam earlier this year, could snag a point to keep the race tight. Ronald Koeman's side enter as favorites, yet Poland's defensive resilience under Jan Urban might frustrate their attack in this Warsaw cauldron.

Key Betting Tips: Netherlands to Win at 1.60

For an alternative, we like Over 2.5 Goals at 1.70, combining both teams to score and a high-tempo clash. Poland have netted in four of their last five, while the Dutch boast the group's highest goal tally; expect end-to-end action with Lewandowski testing the backline.

Poland vs Netherlands Predicted Lineups

Poland Predicted XI (3-5-2): Szczesny; Kiwior, Bednarek, Zalewski; Cash, Slisz, Zielinski, Szymanski, Piatek; Lewandowski, Buksa.

Urban deploys a compact back three to counter the Dutch press, with Matty Cash providing width. Robert Lewandowski leads the line despite limited minutes at Barcelona, flanked by Adam Buksa for aerial threat. Midfield maestro Piotr Zielinski pulls strings, but the side lacks depth up top.

Key absences: Karol Swiderski (hamstring injury, out until December), Lukasz Skorupski (thigh strain, sidelined). Squad confirmed via PZPN updates—no further issues, with Lewandowski fully fit after October's goals against Lithuania.

Netherlands Predicted XI (4-3-3): Verbruggen; Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake; De Jong, Gravenberch, Reijnders; Simons, Gakpo, Depay.

Koeman sticks to fluid possession play, with Virgil van Dijk anchoring a robust defense. Xavi Simons adds creativity on the right, while Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay form a lethal front three. Full squad available, per KNVB—no injuries reported post-October qualifiers.

Poland vs Netherlands Current Group G Standings

The Netherlands top Group G with 16 points from six games (5W, 1D, 0L, +12 GD), having demolished Malta 8-0 and edged Finland 2-0 in June before the 1-1 stalemate with Poland in September. Poland sit second on 13 points (4W, 1D, 1L, +5 GD), rebounding from a June loss to Finland (2-1) with October wins over Lithuania (2-0) and New Zealand (1-0 friendly). Lithuania languish third on 6 points, Finland fourth (3), Malta last (0). A Dutch win seals qualification; Poland need points to stay in playoff hunt.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

These neighbors have clashed 12 times since 2018, with the Netherlands edging a fierce rivalry (5W-3L-4D for Oranje). Poland's home form offers hope, unbeaten in three Warsaw meetings.

• September 4, 2025: Netherlands 1-1 Poland (World Cup Qualifier)
• June 16, 2024: Poland 1-2 Netherlands (UEFA EURO)
• September 22, 2022: Poland 0-2 Netherlands (Nations League)
• June 11, 2022: Netherlands 2-2 Poland (Nations League)
• November 18, 2020: Poland 1-2 Netherlands (Nations League)

Poland vs Netherlands Recent Matches Analysis

Poland Last 5 Matches:

• October 12: Lithuania 0-2 Poland (World Cup Qualifier) – Clinical away win, Lewandowski scoring.
• October 9: Poland 1-0 New Zealand (Friendly) – Solid defensive display.
• September 4: Netherlands 1-1 Poland (World Cup Qualifier) – Cash's equalizer salvaged point.
• June 25: France 1-1 Poland (EURO) – Resilient draw.
• June 10: Finland 2-1 Poland (World Cup Qualifier) – Costly Probierz sacking.

The Eagles show grit (unbeaten in four post-Finland), scoring 1.4 goals per game but conceding on counters.

Netherlands Last 5 Matches:

• October 15: Lithuania 0-3 Netherlands (World Cup Qualifier) – Depay brace.
• October 12: Netherlands 4-0 Malta (World Cup Qualifier) – Routine rout.
• September 4: Netherlands 1-1 Poland (World Cup Qualifier) – Dropped points at home.
• June 10: Netherlands 8-0 Malta (World Cup Qualifier) – Six scorers shine.
• June 7: Finland 0-2 Netherlands (World Cup Qualifier) – Clean sheet mastery.

Oranje unbeaten in 10 qualifiers (avg. 3.2 goals scored), though the Poland draw exposed minor vulnerabilities.

Poland vs Netherlands Predictions

Our algorithm, crunching 200+ data points—form, H2H, injuries, xG—predicts a 2-1 Netherlands win with 62% confidence. Poland's home edge tempers Dutch dominance, but Koeman's tactics should prevail in transitions.

Best Poland vs Netherlands Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Netherlands to Win @ 1.60

Oranje's depth and 100% away record in qualifiers outweigh Poland's resilience. Despite the September draw, recent thumpings of minnows signal firepower; Lewandowski alone can't stem the tide.

Key Players to Watch: Poland vs Netherlands

Robert Lewandowski (Poland): The 37-year-old captain netted twice in October, ending a mini-drought. With 85 international goals, he'll exploit Van Dijk's rare lapses—expect him to test Verbruggen early.

Virgil van Dijk (Netherlands): Imperious at Liverpool, the skipper has marshaled three clean sheets in qualifiers. His aerial duel win rate (78%) will neutralize Buksa, anchoring a defense that concedes just 0.5 goals per game.

Memphis Depay (Netherlands): Four qualifier goals already, including September's opener vs. Poland. The Atletico forward's movement and finishing (2.1 xG/90) could unlock Urban's low block.

Poland vs Netherlands Match Facts

Referee: Felix Zwayer (Germany)—known for tight calls, averaging 4.2 cards per game.

Broadcast Details:
Africa: DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 2, SuperSport MáXimo 1, SuperSport 14 (20:45 CET).
Global: UEFA.tv, ViX+.

Stadium Information: Warsaw's Stadion Narodowy holds 58,000, with a passionate crowd boosting Poland's 70% home win rate in qualifiers.