Italy vs Moldova Prediction and Betting Tip- Odds, H2H and Preview Predictions

Italy vs Moldova Prediction:

Italy take on Moldova in their second match of Group I, in their UEFA World Cup Qualifying campaign. The game is not expected to be broadcast live in the UK (we will update this section if there is a broadcaster). The clash will get underway on Monday, June 9, at 19:45 BST.

This will be Italy’s second game in their group, after missing out on the initial round of fixtures due to their Nations League commitments. They come into Monday night on a search for three points to open their account for the 2026 World Cup Qualifying campaign, following their 3-0 loss in Oslo on Friday.

They face a struggling Moldovan side who come into their third game without any points, scoring just twice in that time. They are not at all expected to come away with anything on Monday evening, but they can use this as an opportunity to put together a strong performance to give them confidence going forward.

As the game approaches, here is everything you need to know about both sides ahead of kick-off.

Key Statistics

• Neither side have won any points so far during 2026 qualifying, with Moldova playing two with two defeats and Italy losing their only match

• Italy have won all three previous match ups between the sides

• Italy head into this qualifying campaign looking to return to the World Cup stage after missing the last two World Cups in the play-offs

• Moldova, meanwhile, have never made the Euros, let alone the World Cup, so as a team, they may use this qualifying campaign as an opportunity to improve and gel together

Italy Preview, Form and Standout Players

Italy Predicted Lineup (3-5-2): Donnarumma; Bastoni, Coppola, Gatti; Udogie, Tonali, Ricci, Barella, Di Lorenzo; Retegui, Raspadori.

Italy had a successful UEFA Nations League campaign, which saw them end runners-up in a group alongside France, Belgium and Israel where they lost only to France and drew with Belgium. They advanced to the quarterfinals stage where they faced Germany. Italy lost the first leg in Milan before heading to Dortmund where, despite coming back from 3-0 down to tie the game, they went out 5-4 on aggregate. They started their World Cup Qualifying campaign on Friday where they lost 3-0 to Norway, so Spalletti’s side will be eager to get back on track to qualify for the World Cup

Sandro Tonali has been their midfield rock in the past and will be crucial as they aim to ease past Moldova, but Spalletti will want his side to take this game very seriously and will be very disappointed following Friday’s result in Scandinavia. Moise Kean played a key part in the squad which almost pulled off an incredible comeback against Germany- his absence was noticed on Friday and Italy will hope to replace his presence in attack for Monday evening.

Moldova Preview, Form and Standout Players

Moldova Predicted Lineup (5-4-1): Kozhukhar; Reabciuk, Mudrac, Baboglo, Crǎciun, Revenco; Postolachi, Rațǎ, Moțpan, Caimacov; Nicolaescu.

Moldova ended their Nations League campaign with a 1-0 victory in Andorra, securing themselves promotion to League C after topping their group alongside Andorra and Malta. They then played a friendly versus fellow League D opposition in Gibraltar, where they came away with a 1-1 draw, before going into their World Cup Qualifying campaign in March. They started with a tough home fixture against second favourites in the group, Norway, where they suffered a 5-0 defeat. Three days later, they faced Estonia where they almost managed to pick up a point, narrowly losing 3-2. Moldova then faced Poland in a friendly on Friday night, losing 2-0, as their warmup for Monday’s clash.

It will be very difficult for Moldova, to keep Italy out on Monday, and they have conceded 10 goals in their past three games, and Italy are better than all three sides. Moldova’s last two scorers were Caimacov and Nicolaescu. The latter scored eight times for SC Heerenveen, helping them on the way to a ninth-place finish.

Head-to-head Comparison

These sides have met just thrice in international history- and it comes to no surprise that Italy have won all three, at an aggregate score of 9-1.

Recent Meetings:

• Friendly- Italy 6-0 Moldova, October 7, 2020

• WC Qualifying- Italy 2-1 Moldova, October 12, 2005

• WC Qualifying- Moldova 0-1 Italy, September 8, 2004

Betting Tip for Italy vs Moldova

This game is not very difficult to predict. Italy possesses by far, the better quality first 11, and depth in quality of their squad. They should not face many troubles here. Since Italy lost 3-0 on Friday night, they will potentially look to embarrass Moldova when they come to visit on Monday evening.

Therefore, our team of betting professionals have gone for Over 3.5 Goals as the best value tip for this match. Odds on Kwiff of 1.78 will mean a stake of £10 has a potential return of £17.80.

(Odds Subject to Change)

Final Prediction

Italy 5-0 Moldova