The Five Most Likely Teams To Win The Europa League
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The Five Most Likely Teams To Win The Europa League

25/09/24 17:20

The Europa League is back, and it’s an exciting period for fans of teams in the competition, along with fans of the competition as a whole.

I am admittedly one of the latter, and for some reason I have always had a special connection to the little brother of the Champions League. Whilst it’s not the biggest trophy in the world, it does present an excellent opportunity for lower statured clubs to get their hands on some fabled silverware.

So who will get their mitts round the odd almost hexagonal–trapezoid based prism trophy this year? The very kind supercomputers at Opta have been nice enough to churn out some predictions. After running 10,000 simulations, and taking into account all sorts of obscure stats, it’s given us a rough idea on the favourites for the competition.

Without further ado, here are Opta’s five most likely teams to lift the 2024/25 Europa League.

5. AS Roma - 8.2%

Runners up in 2022/23, Roma will be looking to add a Europa League Trophy to their collection, and Opta sees them as the fifth most likely to do so.

Under the new management of Ivan Juric, Roma will be looking to best their rivals Lazio (who Opta reckon have a (6.1% chance) to the trophy.

I hate to say it, but there’s a decent chance that football comes Rome again.

4. Tottenham Hotspur - 8.6%

Has Ange Postecoglou ever mentioned that he wins trophies in his second season?

Tottenham are yet to win major silverware in the modern era, but the Australian has let the media know he’s planning on it this year.

Still looking to move on from the Harry Kane shaped hole in their front line, they’ll need new signing Solanke to start firing on all cylinders to get this one done.

That being said, the supercomputer probably knows more than me, so they’ll be up there this season, and could finally silence all the trophy cabinet jokes.

3. Slavia Praha - 9.6%

2018/19 quarter-finalists Slavia Praha up next, and it’s unsurprising too.

The Czech side are on the up, along with the rest of Czech football, and Trpisovsky could lead them to glory this season. They should gain some momentum with a great opening fixture against Ludogorets.

However, they’d have to do extremely well to best either of the top two teams, who are well established in European competitions.

2. Athletic Club - 10.9%

Unsurprisingly, Athletic Club are second favourites to win the coveted competition.

Despite their recruitment policy, the Basque-based club have an extremely strong squad, and it will only get stronger. Nico Williams impressed in both La Liga and the Euros so far, and he’ll be vital to any success they have.

I’d guess a lot people will be banking on them winning the whole thing.

1. Porto - 17.8%

Last, but certainly not least, Porto are Opta’s favourites to win the competition.

Out of the 10,000 simulations, they dominated proceedings with a 6.9% margain over second place, and with good reason. Despite losing Evanilson to Bournemouth in the summer, Porto have an excellent squad.

Thanks to the growth of Portuguese football, which is now competing closely with some of the ‘big five’ European leagues.

After their surprising Champions League victory under Jose Mourinho, no one would be shocked if they pulled this one off.

Benji Kosartiyer
Journalist
Joe Southan | Writer at Football Park

Meet Joe Southan, a dedicated writer at Football Park delivering exciting football content. Learn more about his expertise.

UEFA Europa League
26/09/24 19:00
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AS Roma

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Athletic Bilbao

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