We got so close to a 32.55 high-risk Burnley vs Brentford bet builder coming off; agonisingly close. But despite the fact it didn’t win, it got you invested in the game, didn’t it? It had you by the scruff of the neck until the 98th minute, when Ashley Barnes saw his equaliser chalked off. So let’s do it again, shall we?
The Premier League’s midweek action brings us an all-promoted sides clash, as Leeds United host high-flying Sunderland, with both surprisingly sitting well clear of the drop zone.
Sunderland’s weekend draw with Bournemouth saw them cement their mid-table 12th place with 37 points. The Premier League surprise package this season, they have defied expectations up to this point, bagging a superb nine wins in 28 games.
Meanwhile, Leeds haven’t been too shabby either. Suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat to Manchester City on Saturday, the result was testament to the great work Daniel Farke had done at the club, to go from Championship underperformers to a side able to give the biggest and best a run for their money.
With so much on the line here, it is only right that you also put something at stake too. That is why Football Park has crafted two distinct bet builders, catering for those looking for both big wins and small profits, and bringing you closer to the game.
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Total Odds: 6.05
Total Odds: 24.08
Leeds Lead the Way: While Sunderland may have performed to a more consistently high standard this season, Leeds have proven to be a devastating opposition whenever they play at Elland Road.
Across the course of the season, they have beaten Everton, Crystal Palace, Chelsea and Nottingham Forest on their home turf and have also taken points off Liverpool and Man United. Faced with fellow promoted side Sunderland, the odds are certainly in their favour. It certainly helps they haven’t lost to their opponents in their last four meetings (W1, D3).
Low Scorer: Though some of the games hosted at Elland Road have turned into veritable goal fests, Sunderland have a habit of keeping things remarkably tight even in a losing scenario – six sides above them have conceded more goals.
The Black Cats also boast the lowest goal total of any side in the 16, with the 29 goals to their name another indication that they like to keep the game controlled and tight. They may well lose here, but Regis Le Bris’ side will not lose heavily. Their 1-1 draw back in December and the way it was played out provide a fascinating insight into this upcoming fixture.
Clean Leeds Sheets: In fact, we predict Sunderland not to score at all, the maximum scoreline projected to be 2-0 in Leeds’ favour. In reality, this will probably be a game decided by just one goal.
Both of Leeds' 1-0 wins this season have come at home, and both have seen the winning goal scored after the 80th minute by Lukas Nmecha. Lightning could strike three times at Elland Road here.
Draw: Both Leeds and Sunderland have amassed 10 draws each in the Premier League this season, with only Bournemouth managing more (12). It seems that both sides are incredibly evenly matched and, moreover, are unwilling to throw everything at a game if it is level in the dying minutes.
Neither side needs to take too many risks – both are comfortably clear of the relegation zone, and a slow and steady stream of points is benefitting them over going for broke and trying to overcommit in a bid to win games where a point would serve them just as well. They will both play into each other's hands here.
Goals at Both Ends: If the two sides are to draw, it’s not going to be a goalless game – both sides have plenty of attacking firepower despite their less than flattering goal records, and both will want to give their opponents a good go from early on.
Calvert-Lewin has been a revelation for Leeds this season, while Brian Brobbey has been an important outlet for Sunderland, particularly when points are needed late on. With other threats such as Leeds’ Brendan Aaronson and Lukas Nmecha, combined with Sunderland’s Wilson Isidor and Eliezer Mayenda, both sides scoring shouldn’t be a problem.
Calvert-Lewin on Target: Speaking of Calvert-Lewin, it’s high time he broke his mini scoring duck, having not scored in any of Leeds' last three games.
The Englishman has an impressive 10 Premier League goals to his name so far this campaign, far outperforming what anyone expected of the injury-prone 28-year-old when he left Everton and joined Daniel Farke’s team on a free transfer. Against Sunderland, he will have another excellent opportunity to prove his doubters wrong.
Feisty Affair: Given their status as newly promoted sides, both Leeds and Sunderland have had to get their hands dirty this season, collecting a number of cards, both yellow and red, as a result.
Against each other, that will only be amplified, and in the cauldron of Elland Road, tackles will fly in just that little bit more recklessly. Though their fixture in December only saw one card shown, all of their previous six clashes saw the 3.5 cards threshold exceeded.
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