Al Sadd
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Match Preview
AFC Champions League Elite action on Monday as Al Sadd go head-to-head with Al-Ahli Jeddah. Here's our data-driven breakdown.
Form Check
A bit wobbly from Al Sadd recently: 2W 0D 3L in their last 5.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have been decent of late: 3W 0D 2L from the last 5.
What Does The Model Say?
Our model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah the slight nod (49.40%), though Al Sadd at 27.30% means this is no foregone conclusion. Draw probability: 23.40%. Scoreline prediction: 1-1.
The Goals Markets
Expect goals at both ends — BTTS comes in at 67.70% on our model.
Goals expected here. Over 2.5 at 67.60% confidence. The Over 1.5 (87.20%) looks nailed on, and even Over 3.5 (46.00%) isn't crazy.
Our Pick
The standout pick here is Both Teams to Score (1.500). Our algorithm rates this at 67.70% confidence.
Market Prices
Bookies have it: Al Sadd 3.300, Draw 3.400, Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.910. BTTS Yes is 1.500, No is 2.500. Over 2.5 Goals at 1.440.
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Prediction Probabilities
The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a al-ahli jeddah win is the more likely outcome.
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov 2025 | Al Sadd | 1 - 2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Al Sadd | 1 - 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| 06 May 2019 | Al Sadd | 2 - 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| 05 Mar 2019 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 - 0 | Al Sadd |
| 14 May 2018 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 - 2 | Al Sadd |
| 07 May 2018 | Al Sadd | 2 - 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
Recent Form
Last five matches, most recent first.
Al Sadd Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Al Sadd | 4 - 1 | Al Shamal |
| 26 Oct | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 - 1 | Al Sadd |
| 22 Oct | Al Shahaniya | 0 - 4 | Al Sadd |
| 18 Oct | Al Sadd | 2 - 3 | Al-Duhail SC |
| 13 Oct | Al Sadd | 0 - 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Al-Ahli Jeddah Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Al Shabab | 6 - 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| 26 Oct | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 - 1 | Al-Gharafa |
| 23 Oct | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 - 1 | Al Khaleej Saihat |
| 19 Oct | Al-Fayha | 2 - 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| 12 Oct | Al-Wasl FC | 1 - 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
AFC Champions League Elite Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
Best Bets
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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Match Result Predictions
Total Goals Predictions
First Half Predictions
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 10.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 53%– | 47%– |
| 10.5 | 43%– | 57%– |
| 11.5 | 33%– | 67%– |
Al Sadd we project 5.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 52%– | 48%– |
| 5.5 | 39%– | 61%– |
| 6.5 | 28%– | 72%– |
Al-Ahli Jeddah we project 5.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 65%– | 35%– |
| 4.5 | 51%– | 49%– |
| 5.5 | 38%– | 62%– |
Cards
Match total we project 4.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 59%– | 41%– |
| 4.5 | 39%– | 61%– |
| 5.5 | 23%– | 77%– |
Al Sadd we project 1.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85%– | 15%– |
| 1.5 | 56%– | 44%– |
| 2.5 | 29%– | 71%– |
Al-Ahli Jeddah we project 2.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65%– | 35%– |
| 2.5 | 38%– | 62%– |
| 3.5 | 19%– | 82%– |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.