Away Win
Tottenham 0 - 2 Doncaster
Who will win?
1
Tottenham
x
Draw
2
Doncaster
Tottenham host Doncaster at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Wednesday, 24 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the England League Cup. While Spurs are clear bookmakers’ favourites at 1.18 odds, Football Park’s algorithm surprisingly gives Doncaster a 50% chance of causing an upset. The model projects a 0-2 away win, driven by Doncaster’s sharper attacking data in this matchup.
This cup tie could be tighter than the market suggests, with Tottenham’s predicted goal output (1.1) trailing Doncaster’s (1.3). If Spurs rotate heavily, the visitors’ value at 11.00 odds becomes even more intriguing.
Date: 24 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England League Cup (EFL Cup)
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London – A world-class 62,000-seater arena built for major domestic and European nights.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Football / Sky Go
International: ESPN+ (US), DAZN (selected regions), Bet365 streaming
Home Win Probability: 40%
Away Win Probability: 50%
Draw Probability: 10%
Correct Score Prediction: 0-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 36%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away
Doncaster to Win @ 11.00 – Despite long odds, the algorithm backs the visitors with a higher win probability (50%).
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.50 – With a modest 2.4 expected match goals and Spurs predicted to struggle, the unders market carries strong value.
Expected Match Goals: 2.40
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 66.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.00 (70% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Doncaster to Win @ 11.00
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.50
Our model leans towards a shock result, with Doncaster capable of punishing a rotated Spurs side. A 0-2 correct score matches the algorithm’s prediction and aligns with betting value.
At Football Park, we use advanced data models to highlight value bets, but remember that cup competitions are unpredictable. Always bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Contact Sales