Jong Ajax
Vitesse
Jong Ajax vs Vitesse Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Match Preview
Here's one for Monday: Jong Ajax hosting Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie. Our algorithm has had a good look at this one.
How Are They Looking?
A bit wobbly from Jong Ajax recently: 2W 0D 3L in their last 5.
Vitesse have been decent of late: 3W 0D 2L from the last 5.
Breaking Down The Odds
Our model gives Vitesse the slight nod (46.70%), though Jong Ajax at 30.60% means this is no foregone conclusion. Draw probability: 22.70%. Our model reckons this ends 1-1.
Will We See Goals?
Expect goals at both ends — BTTS comes in at 71.80% on our model.
Over 2.5 Goals at 72.20% looks solid. Over 1.5 is at 89.60% if you want something safer, while Over 3.5 is 51.50% for the brave.
Top Selection
We're going with Over 2.5 Goals at 1.330. The algorithm puts this at 72.20%.
The Odds
Market prices: Jong Ajax win 3.000, Vitesse win 2.000, Draw 3.900. For goals, BTTS Yes 1.330 / No 3.250, Over 2.5 at 1.330.
This analysis was automatically generated by the Football Park prediction system. The model uses historical performance and statistical analysis — but remember, this is football, and upsets happen. Please bet responsibly.
Prediction Probabilities
The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a vitesse win is the more likely outcome.
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 2026 | Vitesse | 6 - 1 | Jong Ajax |
| 01 Dec 2025 | Jong Ajax | 2 - 0 | Vitesse |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Jong Ajax | 1 - 1 | Vitesse |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Vitesse | 2 - 2 | Jong Ajax |
Recent Form
Last five matches, most recent first.
Jong Ajax Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | FC OSS | 3 - 3 | Jong Ajax |
| 19 Oct | Jong Ajax | 2 - 1 | De Graafschap |
| 09 Oct | Jong Ajax | 0 - 3 | VVV Venlo |
| 18 Sep | Jong Ajax | 0 - 0 | Roda |
| 14 Sep | Jong Utrecht | 6 - 1 | Jong Ajax |
Vitesse Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | VVV Venlo | 0 - 2 | Vitesse |
| 23 Oct | Vitesse | 0 - 2 | Emmen |
| 16 Oct | FC Eindhoven | 0 - 1 | Vitesse |
| 09 Oct | FC Volendam | 2 - 0 | Vitesse |
| 03 Oct | Vitesse | 2 - 2 | NAC Breda |
Eerste Divisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
Best Bets
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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Match Result Predictions
Total Goals Predictions
First Half Predictions
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 9.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 58%– | 42%– |
| 9.5 | 47%– | 53%– |
| 10.5 | 37%1.98 | 63%1.82 |
Jong Ajax we project 4.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 56%– | 44%– |
| 4.5 | 41%– | 59%– |
| 5.5 | 29%– | 71%– |
Vitesse we project 5.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 54%– | 46%– |
| 5.5 | 41%– | 59%– |
| 6.5 | 30%– | 70%– |
Cards
Referee: Jorg Ordelmans
Match total we project 3.7
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 72%– | 28%– |
| 3.5 | 51%– | 49%– |
| 4.5 | 32%– | 68%– |
Jong Ajax we project 1.7
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82%– | 18%– |
| 1.5 | 51%– | 49%– |
| 2.5 | 25%– | 76%– |
Vitesse we project 2.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60%– | 40%– |
| 2.5 | 33%– | 67%– |
| 3.5 | 15%– | 85%– |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
