Away Win
Barnet 1 - 2 Grimsby
Who will win?
1
Barnet
x
Draw
2
Grimsby
Barnet face Grimsby at The Hive Stadium on 20 September 2025, with kick-off set for 15:00 GMT, in what promises to be a wide-open England League Two fixture. Using Football Park’s advanced prediction algorithm, the same system behind previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield, the data strongly points towards Grimsby holding the upper hand.
The algorithm gives Grimsby a 53.3% chance of victory, compared to just 20% for Barnet, while the draw sits at 26.7%. Both teams are expected to get on the scoresheet, with a 76.7% chance of BTTS, and the correct scoreline projection is 2-1 in favour of Grimsby. The game also carries a strong likelihood of goals, with 2.9 expected match goals and a 60% probability for Over 2.5 Goals.
With odds of 1.62 for Grimsby Double Chance and 2.05 for Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS, bettors can find strong value in line with the model’s insights.
Home Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Away Win Probability: 53.30%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2 Grimsby
Grimsby Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62 – Strongly supported by their 53.3% win chance plus draw coverage.
Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.05 – With BTTS at 76.7% and Over 2.5 at 60%, this market represents high-value potential.
Goals Expected: 2.90, with Barnet projected for 1.2 and Grimsby for 1.7.
First Half Outlook: 87% chance of at least one first-half goal, with Grimsby carrying a 66.7% probability of leading at the break.
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away, suggesting Grimsby could dominate throughout.
Key Angle: Both teams are likely to score, but Grimsby’s stronger attack is tipped to prevail.
Recent encounters back the algorithm’s outlook of a competitive but high-scoring fixture:
30 Apr 2022 – Barnet 2-2 Grimsby
25 Nov 2017 – Barnet 0-2 Grimsby
29 Apr 2017 – Barnet 3-1 Grimsby
21 Feb 2015 – Barnet 1-3 Grimsby
18 Feb 2014 – Barnet 2-1 Grimsby
These meetings highlight Grimsby’s ability to score freely against Barnet, while also conceding in several encounters.
Barnet Win @ 2.25 – Priced fairly but underpinned by only a 20% chance.
Grimsby Win @ 2.90 – Good value, considering a 53.3% win probability.
Draw @ 3.60 – Viable but less appealing given the attacking metrics.
BTTS @ 1.67 – Strongly backed by the 76.7% BTTS probability.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 – Decent standalone bet, reinforced further when combined with BTTS at 2.05.
Grimsby Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62 – Algorithm-favoured safety with strong odds.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05 – A high-value play backed by the high-scoring model projection.
Venue: The Hive Stadium, London
Date & Kick-off: 20 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Predicted Outcome: Grimsby 2-1 Barnet
Broadcast: Available via EFL broadcast partners and official streaming platforms.
All Football Park betting previews are based on data-driven analysis and historical performance. Please gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
Contact Sales