Away Win
Barrow 1 - 2 Crewe
Who will win?
1
Barrow
x
Draw
2
Crewe
Barrow host Crewe on 20 September 2025 at 15:00 GMT, in an England League Two clash that looks finely poised but tilts slightly in favour of the visitors. Played at the SO Legal Stadium, this matchup is guided by Football Park’s algorithm, the same system used in previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips.
Our model gives Crewe a 51% chance of victory, compared to 42.3% for Barrow, with the draw much less likely at just 6.7%. Goals are firmly on the cards, with 2.7 expected match goals and a strong 65.6% probability of both teams scoring. The correct score projection leans towards a 2-1 win for Crewe, in line with their attacking edge.
At odds of 2.45 for a Crewe win and 1.83 for Both Teams to Score, bettors have clear data-backed opportunities to consider.
Home Win Probability: 42.30%
Draw Probability: 6.70%
Away Win Probability: 51.00%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2 Crewe
Crewe to Win @ 2.45 – Backed by the model’s 51% win probability, the visitors offer strong betting value.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 – With a 65.6% chance, this is one of the most reliable angles.
Goals Expected: 2.70 overall, with Barrow projected for 1.2 and Crewe for 1.5.
First Half Outlook: 73% chance of at least one goal before the interval, with Crewe holding a slight edge.
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away, suggesting a level opening before Crewe take control.
Key Angle: High BTTS probability with Crewe tipped to edge a narrow win.
Recent meetings highlight mixed fortunes, with home advantage often influential:
10 Aug 2024 – Barrow 1-0 Crewe
20 Jan 2024 – Barrow 1-3 Crewe
29 Oct 2022 – Barrow 3-0 Crewe
These results show Barrow’s ability to punish Crewe at home, but the visitors have found ways to respond effectively in recent years.
Barrow Win @ 2.60 – Attractive, but only backed by a 42.3% chance.
Crewe Win @ 2.45 – Better aligned with the 51% model prediction, making it the stronger option.
Draw @ 3.70 – Priced high, but with just 6.7% likelihood, the least favoured outcome.
BTTS @ 1.83 – Good value given the 65.6% probability.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – Supported by the 51.8% chance of clearing this line.
Crewe to Win @ 2.45 – A solid pick based on win probability and recent head-to-head balance.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 – Strongly supported by data and past meetings.
Venue: SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness
Date & Kick-off: 20 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Predicted Outcome: Crewe 2-1 Barrow
Broadcast: Available through EFL broadcast partners and official streaming services.
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