English League Two

Over 1.5
Chesterfield 2 - 1 Walsall
Who will win?
1
Chesterfield
x
Draw
2

Walsall
Chesterfield welcome Walsall to the SMH Group Stadium on 31 January 2026, with kick-off set for 15:00 GMT in England’s League Two. Football Park’s data-led model expects a competitive contest, with the home side holding a slight edge but little separating the teams overall. The key betting tip for this fixture is Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.33, a selection supported by a strong 75% probability rating and an expected goals total close to three. Recent meetings between these sides have regularly produced chances at both ends, and with both teams showing a willingness to play on the front foot, this matchup looks well suited to a goals-based angle rather than a firm result prediction.
Head-to-head history suggests a fixture that rarely lacks drama. Walsall claimed a 2-0 away win in May 2025, while the reverse meeting earlier that season ended in a 2-2 draw. Going further back, there have been emphatic wins for both sides, including a 4-1 Walsall success in 2016 and a series of tight one-goal encounters. Chesterfield have generally been competitive at home, but Walsall have shown they can travel well to Derbyshire, reinforcing expectations of a close and open game.
Football Park’s algorithm assigns Chesterfield a 40% chance of victory, compared to 33.3% for Walsall, with the draw rated at 26.7%. The projected scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the hosts reflects this narrow margin. Expected goals figures point towards attacking intent from both teams, while the likelihood of goals after the break remains high, particularly if the match is level at half-time.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.33
This selection carries a 75% probability and is supported by the expected match goals figure of 2.90. Both sides consistently contribute to games that clear the one-goal mark, making this a reliable option for bettors seeking steady value.
Second Rated Selection: Both Teams to Score @ 1.83
With a 56.7% likelihood, this is a solid alternative for those looking for slightly higher odds. Chesterfield and Walsall have both shown defensive vulnerability, particularly in recent meetings.
The half-time draw is a common theme in this fixture, reflected by a 53.3% probability rating. The model also highlights a strong chance of goals in the opening period, with over 0.5 first-half goals rated at 73%.
The SMH Group Stadium provides a compact and lively setting that often encourages positive football. Chesterfield’s home matches tend to be played at a good tempo, which should suit a fixture expected to produce multiple scoring opportunities.
This League Two encounter fits the profile of a balanced contest where momentum can swing quickly. With neither side dominant enough to control proceedings for long spells, sustained pressure and counter-attacking phases are likely throughout.
No predicted lineups are included in line with editorial guidelines.
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