Over 2.5
Gillingham 2 - 1 Notts County
Who will win?
1
Gillingham
x
Draw
2
Notts County
Gillingham take on Notts County at Priestfield Stadium on 13 September 2025, with kick-off set for 15:00 GMT in an exciting League Two fixture. Football Park’s predictive model gives the hosts a strong 63.3% chance of victory, highlighting their edge in both attacking output and overall control. With the algorithm expecting close to 2.8 goals in total, this clash promises attacking football and high entertainment value.
As we saw in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions, Football Park’s advanced model blends over 200 data points into reliable betting insights. For this match, the numbers lean heavily towards Gillingham’s home strength but also suggest both teams will be on the scoresheet, setting the stage for a high-value betting market.
This preview provides detailed predictions, betting tips, and analysis of Gillingham vs Notts County, helping bettors find the best angles for this League Two showdown.
Home Win Probability: 63.30%
Draw Probability: 13.30%
Away Win Probability: 23.30%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Gillingham
Gillingham to Win @ 2.40 – Backed by a 63.3% probability, the home side’s superiority is reflected in both the data and recent performance trends.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.60 – With 73.3% likelihood of both sides scoring and 60% chance of over 2.5 goals, this combined market offers strong value.
Expected Match Goals: 2.8 – pointing towards an open contest.
First Half Trends: Gillingham are projected to start strong, with a 48.3% chance of leading at half-time compared to Notts County’s 23.3%.
Scoring Profile: Gillingham are expected to net 1.9 goals, while Notts County should create chances for at least one reply.
The recent history between these two sides has been competitive:
01 Feb 2025: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
21 Oct 2023: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
03 May 2015: Gillingham 3-1 Notts County
22 Oct 2013: Gillingham 2-1 Notts County
Notts County have won the last two league meetings at Priestfield, but Gillingham’s data-driven edge suggests they are well-placed to reverse that trend.
Home Win @ 2.40 – Represents strong value given the 63.3% win probability.
Away Win @ 3.00 – Risky play with just a 23.3% backing from the algorithm.
Draw @ 3.20 – Low probability (13.3%) makes this less appealing.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – Supported by a 73.3% chance, making this one of the most reliable side bets.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 – Solid value given the expected 2.8 total goals.
Gillingham to Win @ 2.40 – Backed by the model’s clear majority win probability.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.60 – A higher-value combined market reflecting the scoring outlook.
Venue: Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Kick-off: 15:00 GMT, 13 September 2025
Correct Score Prediction: Gillingham 2-1 Notts County
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Football Park’s tips are based on statistical modelling and probability, not guarantees. Always gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.
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