English League Two


Over 2.5
Grimsby 0 - 2 Oldham
Who will win?
1

Grimsby
x
Draw
2

Oldham
Oldham make the journey East to Grimsby in what is possibly the most mid-table League Two clash that you could ask for at the moment, with the sides adopting the 14th and 15th spots heading into the tie. Despite play-offs not quite being in reaching distance yet and relegation not being much of a threat, it's games like these that often make a huge difference come the final points tallies at the end of the season, so both sides will be well aware of what a good result could mean for them here.
Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.83 odds on talkSPORT BET or 1.80 odds on BoyleSports both represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's advanced algorithm.
This game looks pretty evenly matched as we head into it, with both teams on identical points tallies, but what does become evident from the recent form of both sides is that they are very capable of high scoring games. As a result, we think opting for a goal-based bet is the safest option.
Grimsby Predicted XI (4-1-4-1): Jackson Smith; Cameron McJannett, Douglas Tharme, Samuel Lavelle, Harvey Rodgers; George McEachran; Charles Vernam, Jamie Walker, Kieran Green, Justin Amaluzor; Jaze Kabia
Oldham Predicted XI (4-1-3-2): Matthew Hudson; Jake Leake, Emmanuel Monthe, Donervon Daniels, Reagan Ogle; Ryan Woods; Jack Stevens, Kai Payne, Tom Pett; Joe Garner, Micheal Mellon
You've got to love a mid-table clash, haven't you. That's what these two are offering up for us on Boxing Day and, with only one goal difference separating them on the table, we doubt there will be much separating them on the pitch. Oldham have a modest goal-scoring record this season, but rather impressively for a newly promoted side, they hold the best defensive record in the league, conceding only 17 goals in 21 games. The hosts, in contrast, have one of the league's better records in front of goal this season, netting 33 times, but they've been unfortunately quite leaky at the back, which leaves them with only three goal difference.
These sides haven't met much overly often through history, with this instalment being only their sixth clash. In terms of head-to-head history, Oldham only just hold the advantage, but not by much at all. They've beaten Grimsby on two occasions, with the Mariners only responding with one win which came in their most recent meeting, which was over four years ago.
Two matches have ended on level terms but, interestingly, three of the five times they have played each other have seen over 2.5 match goals scored. There seems to be goals in this fixture, so let's hope for a similar outcome this time around.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Grimsby Last 5 Matches:
Grimsby's form lately won't be filling the fans with hope, as they've suffered a very difficult period following their exciting start to the season. It's been so bad, in fact, that their last win in League Two came all the way back on November 4th, which has made for some pretty miserable viewing on the East Coast. Failure to beat Tranmere and Shrewsbury are disappointing results considering how poor those two have been this season and, without being too harsh on David Artell's side, losing to Notts County and Bromley didn't come as massive surprises. A cup win against Wealdstone was a formality and has skewed their defensive stats lately, providing a clean sheet in a time in which they've conceded regularly.
Oldham Last 5 Matches:
Oldham's form has not been much more inspiring than that of their opponents, but at least they have under their belt a league win against Tranmere last time out, courtesy of a Micky Mellon hat-trick. That ended a four game winless run, so the Addicks will be hoping to bring some momentum from Boundary Park to this game and keep finding the net freely, something that is becoming more of a strength lately with five goals scored in two games. Much like Grimsby, they've conceded on a regular basis in recent weeks, so the forecast is looking like plenty of goals in this clash.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 52.50% confidence in Over 2.5 Match Goals. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.83 odds on talkSPORT BET - It looks like there's going to be goals in this game, and with it being too tight to pick a winner, this looks to be the safest option that still holds odds worth betting on.
Charles Vernam (Grimsby): The winger has plenty of experience at a variety of clubs in English football, which has helped him to become Grimsby's biggest threat going forward. With six goals and six assists to his name in the league so far this season, Vernam will be one to keep an eye on from the left flank as he could cause some serious problems for a leaky Oldham backline.
Michael Mellon (Oldham): What a game the Scottish striker had last time out, almost single-handedly sinking Tranmere with a clinical hat-trick, his second of the season already. He also scored in his last appearance before that, putting him in quite the purple patch heading into this fixture, where he'll be looking to make it five goals from three games, an exceptional recent record to hold if he can.
Broadcast Details: Sky Sports+
Referee: TBC
Stadium Information: Located in Cleethorpes, on the North-East coast, Blundell Park has been in use for Grimsby since 1899 and has a capacity of 9,052.
Grimsby 0-2 Oldham
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