Notts County vs Gillingham Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Notts County vs Gillingham Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Notts County host Gillingham at Meadow Lane on Tuesday 3 February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT in this England League Two fixture. The data points towards a home-favoured contest, with Football Park’s model assigning Notts County a 50% probability of victory, making Notts County to Win at odds of 1.85 the standout betting angle. This preview follows Football Park’s established algorithm-driven format, also used in fixtures such as San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield, blending statistical modelling with match context to highlight value-led betting opportunities for punters.

Match Details

• Date: Tuesday 3 February 2026
• Kick-off: 19:45 GMT
• Venue: Meadow Lane
• Competition: England League Two

Notts County vs Gillingham Match Preview

This League Two encounter sees Notts County enter as deserved favourites based on both market pricing and underlying data. The home side are given a 50% chance of securing all three points, compared to 30% for Gillingham and 20% for the draw, indicating a clear edge without suggesting a one-sided contest.

Expected match goals sit at 2.40, with both teams projected to score just over one goal each. While the likelihood of both teams scoring is relatively modest at 48.3%, the overall structure of the match points towards a controlled contest where fine margins, rather than attacking chaos, decide the outcome. The model’s correct score prediction of 2–1 further supports a narrow home win.

Notts County vs Gillingham Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm assesses over 200 data points per fixture, including scoring trends, tempo, and win conversion rates. For this match, the strongest signal is Notts County’s home win probability, which aligns closely with the available odds.

The Over 1.5 Match Goals market also carries a reasonable probability at 52.5%, reflecting a game where goals are expected but not in excessive volume. With Over 2.5 Goals rated slightly lower, more conservative goal lines appear better suited to the projected match flow.

Notts County vs Gillingham Lineups

Confirmed lineups will be released closer to kick-off and may offer additional clarity for bettors assessing late markets, particularly around goal scorers, tactical shape, and potential in-play opportunities.

Notts County vs Gillingham Matches and Head-to-Head

Recent meetings between these sides have favoured Gillingham, including two away wins at Meadow Lane in 2024. However, longer-term head-to-head data shows a more balanced picture, with Notts County also recording convincing home victories in past seasons.

That historical context contrasts slightly with the current data model, which suggests Notts County are well placed to reverse recent trends, particularly given their stronger projected win probability and home advantage.

Best Notts County vs Gillingham Betting Tips

Based on probability strength and market alignment, Football Park highlights two selections that best reflect the data.

The primary recommendation is Notts County to Win at 1.85, supported by a 50% win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.

A secondary option is Over 1.5 Match Goals at 1.33, which aligns with the expected match goals and offers a sensible balance between risk and return.

Tactical Overview

Notts County are expected to control large periods of possession, particularly in midfield, using patient build-up to break down a Gillingham side likely to prioritise structure and defensive compactness. Their projected home goal output of 1.30 reflects an ability to create chances without relying on high-risk attacking play.

Gillingham may look to exploit transitions and set-piece situations, but their lower away win probability suggests they could struggle to impose sustained pressure, especially if Notts County take an early lead.

Responsible Betting Advice

While the data supports a home win, Football Park advises bettors to remain disciplined. League Two fixtures can be influenced by late team news, tactical changes, or game state swings, making it wise to review confirmed lineups and market movement before kick-off.

Final Thoughts

Notts County vs Gillingham profiles as a competitive but home-leaning League Two fixture. With the model favouring the hosts and goal output expected to remain controlled, the clearest value lies in backing Notts County to claim a narrow victory. From a data-driven perspective, this fixture offers a solid betting opportunity grounded in probability rather than speculation.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.