English League Two
BTTS Yes
Shrewsbury 2 - 1 Crawley Town
Who will win?
1
Shrewsbury
x
Draw
2
Crawley Town
Match Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025 Kick-off: 15:00 GMT Competition: England League Two
Shrewsbury Town face Crawley Town at New Meadow in a League Two fixture that promises attacking football and a high goal probability. Football Park’s predictive algorithm highlights this as one of the weekend’s most open contests, with both sides statistically strong in forward areas but inconsistent defensively.
Crawley’s recent success over Shrewsbury — including a 2-1 away win in May — suggests they can compete effectively, but the data leans towards a high-scoring affair rather than a clear result. Both teams average above 1.5 goals per game across their last five fixtures, making the Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS market particularly appealing.
Football Park’s analytical model evaluates over 200 performance indicators, including team tempo, attacking efficiency, and historical matchup outcomes:
Home Win Probability: 43.30%
Away Win Probability: 35.00%
Draw Probability: 21.70%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 65.80%
Expected Match Goals: 2.90
The model’s predicted correct score of 2-1 reflects a narrow Shrewsbury advantage, but the overall metrics point to an entertaining, goal-heavy fixture.
Football Park’s data projects a 68.8% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65.8% likelihood of BTTS — a strong statistical foundation for this combined market. Both teams have been prolific in recent weeks, and each of the last three head-to-heads has produced at least three goals. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.20
With Shrewsbury holding the higher win probability (43.3%) and expected to score at least 1.7 goals, this value-driven angle aligns with Football Park’s data model. Shrewsbury have scored twice or more in four of their last five home games, while Crawley’s defensive record away remains patchy. Recommended Bet: Shrewsbury to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.80
03 May 2025: Shrewsbury 1-2 Crawley Town
11 Mar 2014: Shrewsbury 1-1 Crawley Town
01 Apr 2013: Shrewsbury 3-0 Crawley Town
27 Feb 2012: Shrewsbury 2-1 Crawley Town
Crawley edged the most recent meeting, but historically, Shrewsbury have dominated at home — winning three of their last four clashes at New Meadow.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 85% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 68.8% probability
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 77% probability
The metrics predict a strong likelihood of early action, with both teams scoring tendencies suggesting potential for an explosive first half. Expect end-to-end sequences and open-play chances throughout.
Football Park’s algorithm-driven analysis anticipates a fast-paced, high-scoring fixture where both teams contribute to the total. Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS remains the safest high-value play, while Shrewsbury to Win & Over 1.5 Goals offers additional return for those seeking greater odds.
This matchup aligns with attacking statistical trends across both clubs and should deliver excitement for neutrals and bettors alike.
At Football Park, we advocate responsible betting. All predictions are rooted in data analysis and statistical modeling, but football remains unpredictable. Always stake within your means and avoid chasing losses.
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