Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Shrewsbury and Gillingham meet at Montgomery Waters Meadow on 29 November 2025, kicking off at 15:00 GMT in a key England League Two clash. As with all Football Park previews, this breakdown is powered by our data model, using over 200 performance variables in the same analytical framework as our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips template.

Our algorithm points toward a competitive, tactically balanced encounter, but with Shrewsbury carrying the stronger probability of securing the result at home. With historical meetings showing consistently close margins and both sides frequently finding the net in this matchup, this fixture shapes up as a strong opportunity for value-driven bettors looking for edges in tight League Two contests.

Below, we deliver the full analytical preview, including our two highest-rated percentage selections and expert betting insights.

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Predictions

Football Park’s advanced predictive model identifies key strengths and probability edges ahead of this League Two meeting. Shrewsbury are given a 46.70% chance of victory, reflecting their stronger underlying metrics in recent matches and favourable home conditions. Gillingham sit at 20.00%, while the draw remains a live option at 33.30%.

Our two top-rated percentage selections from the data model are:

1. Shrewsbury Win (46.70%)

With a clear edge in win probability and home advantage, Shrewsbury are the algorithm’s strongest outcome play. Their expected output of 1.30 goals exceeds Gillingham's projection, and seven of their last nine home matches in this fixture were unbeaten.

2. Both Teams to Score (60.00%)

Meetings between these sides have been historically high in BTTS outcomes: 7 of the last 9 at this venue saw goals at both ends. With Gillingham projected at 1.10 goals, the BTTS line holds strong statistical backing.

The model projects a 2-1 Shrewsbury victory, consistent with the probabilities favouring a narrow home win with scoring at both ends.

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Matches & Timeline

Targeting the keyword: Shrewsbury vs Gillingham timeline

Previous Meetings

• 28 Aug 2021: Shrewsbury 2-1 Gillingham
• 03 Oct 2020: Shrewsbury 1-1 Gillingham
• 22 Oct 2019: Shrewsbury 1-1 Gillingham
• 29 Sep 2018: Shrewsbury 2-2 Gillingham
• 20 Feb 2018: Shrewsbury 1-1 Gillingham
• 27 Aug 2016: Shrewsbury 2-3 Gillingham
• 28 Nov 2015: Shrewsbury 2-2 Gillingham
• 12 Oct 2013: Shrewsbury 2-0 Gillingham
• 14 Jan 2012: Shrewsbury 2-0 Gillingham

Shrewsbury have historically controlled this fixture at home, with Gillingham winning just once in over a decade. Their last six league encounters here produced five BTTS outcomes, affirming this match’s high-probability scoring pattern.

Key Match Insights

Football Park’s model projects 2.40 total match goals, with 0.93 expected first-half goals, suggesting a measured but productive match tempo. Shrewsbury also hold a notable 26.70% chance of leading at halftime, compared to only 13.30% for Gillingham.

Additional high-value probabilities:

• Over 0.5 First Half Goals – 73%
• Over 1.5 Match Goals – 70%
• Correct Score Projection: 2-1 Shrewsbury

These data indicators align strongly with our highlighted betting angles: Shrewsbury to win and Both Teams to Score.

Best Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Betting Tips

Football Park’s Top Two Algorithm-Driven Picks

1. Shrewsbury to Win @ 2.40

With the highest win probability and historical home dominance in this fixture, the price of 2.40 offers notable value compared to the model’s 46.7% win projection.

2. Both Teams to Score @ 1.83

Given a 60% BTTS probability, this is one of the model’s clearest overlays compared to market pricing.

Additional Value Angles Supported by the Model

• Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.36 – Supported by a 70% probability.
• Draw/ Home (HT/FT) @ extended odds – The algorithm’s Half-Time/Full-Time outcome.

As always, bettors should stake responsibly and consider volatility in League Two fixtures. Football Park recommends disciplined unit-based staking.

Match Facts

• Referee: Assignment pending; typical League Two officials average 3.8 cards per match.
• Broadcast: Domestic streaming options available via club services; international coverage varies.
• Venue: Montgomery Waters Meadow – known for its narrow pitch dimensions that suit Shrewsbury’s tight mid-block structure.

Where to Follow the Action

For real-time updates, in-depth statistical models, and post-match insights, follow Football Park’s dedicated match coverage hub. Our algorithm updates every 90 seconds during live games, providing the most current predictive edges anywhere online.

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