Home Win
Tranmere 2 - 1 Newport County
Who will win?
1
Tranmere
x
Draw
2
Newport County
Prenton Park sets the stage for Tranmere vs Newport County on 13 September 2025, with kick-off at 15:00 GMT in this League Two clash. Tranmere have proven tough to beat at home in recent years against Newport, winning each of their last two meetings 2-1.
At Football Park, our in-house predictive model — the same one that powered our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions — runs on more than 200 advanced performance metrics. For this fixture, the algorithm gives Tranmere the edge while also signalling value in high-goals markets.
This preview delivers expert analysis, focusing on probability-based outcomes, head-to-head history, and the two strongest betting selections identified by our model.
Home Win Probability: 46.70%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Tranmere Win @ 1.65 – Backed by almost 47% probability, with recent home form against Newport supporting the pick.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.38 – Data indicates a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 76.7% BTTS probability, making this a high-value angle.
Goals Outlook: The model expects 2.7 total goals, suggesting an open contest.
First Half Dynamics: 73% probability of at least one first-half goal.
BTTS Chance: A strong 76.7%, indicating both teams are highly likely to get on the scoresheet.
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw at the half, Tranmere to edge it late (Draw/Home).
09 Nov 2024: Tranmere 2-1 Newport County
09 Dec 2023: Tranmere 2-1 Newport County
18 Mar 2023: Tranmere 1-3 Newport County
21 Aug 2021: Tranmere 0-1 Newport County
02 Mar 2021: Tranmere 1-0 Newport County
22 Sep 2018: Tranmere 0-1 Newport County
Recent clashes show a strong home trend for Tranmere, particularly in tight scorelines decided by narrow margins.
Tranmere Win @ 1.65 – Market aligns with algorithm expectations, offering fair value.
Draw @ 3.80 – Viable secondary angle given a 26.7% probability.
Away Win @ 5.25 – Outside chance but less supported by data.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 – High value, considering a 76.7% strike rate.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 – Supported by a 60% likelihood of landing.
Tranmere Win @ 1.65 – Backed by home advantage and recent head-to-head results.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.38 – Strong value, combining two statistically high-probability markets.
Venue: Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Date & Kick-off: 13 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Tranmere
Referee & Broadcast: To be confirmed closer to kick-off
All Football Park betting previews are algorithm-driven and data-informed. However, no prediction is guaranteed. Always gamble responsibly and stay within your means.
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