AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

AZ Alkmaar welcome PEC Zwolle to the AFAS Stadion on 24 September 2025 at 19:00 GMT in an Eredivisie clash that promises goals and attacking football. Football Park’s advanced prediction model — the same algorithm trusted for previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — points towards a high-scoring game, with AZ holding the upper hand at home but PEC Zwolle expected to pose an offensive threat.

The algorithm highlights over 3.5 expected goals across both teams, suggesting that value lies in goals markets rather than just backing the favourite. With AZ given a 53.3% chance of victory and PEC Zwolle still holding a dangerous 20% probability of an upset, this fixture looks set for an open contest. Football Park tips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 2.20 odds as the standout betting selection, backed by strong percentages and historical head-to-head scoring trends.

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Predictions

Home Win Probability: 53.30%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Away Win Probability: 20.00%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-1

Top 2 Percentage Best Bets

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.20 – Strongest selection with 76.7% BTTS likelihood and 80% chance of 3+ goals.

Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.25 – Backed by a 65% probability, reflecting AZ’s scoring power and Zwolle’s counter-attacking threat.

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Timeline & Match Insights

Goals Expected: AZ (2.2) vs PEC Zwolle (1.4).

Match Goals Projection: 3.6 goals total, among the highest forecasts in this Eredivisie round.

First Half Outlook: 1.47 goals on average, with 73% probability of a goal before the break.

Most Likely HT/FT Pattern: Draw/Home, reflecting AZ’s tendency to take control in the second half.

BTTS Probability: 76.7%, making it one of the strongest markets available.

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Matches – Head-to-Head

Recent clashes underline the trend for goals:

09 Feb 2025 – AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle

20 Jan 2024 – AZ Alkmaar 2-2 PEC Zwolle

02 Jul 2022 – AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

30 Oct 2021 – AZ Alkmaar 3-2 PEC Zwolle

19 Sep 2020 – AZ Alkmaar 1-1 PEC Zwolle

05 Aug 2020 – AZ Alkmaar 0-1 PEC Zwolle

23 Feb 2020 – AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle

18 Dec 2018 – AZ Alkmaar 5-0 PEC Zwolle

30 Sep 2018 – AZ Alkmaar 2-2 PEC Zwolle

06 May 2018 – AZ Alkmaar 6-0 PEC Zwolle

Eight of the last ten matches have seen both teams score or three or more goals.

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Betting Analysis

Home Win @ 1.28 – Reflects AZ’s strong home form but offers limited value.

Away Win @ 8.00 – Long odds given Zwolle’s low win probability (20%).

Draw @ 5.50 – Aligns with the 26.7% chance of a stalemate.

BTTS @ 1.95 – Attractive given the 76.7% probability.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 – Strongly backed with 80% probability.

Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.25 – Recommended as a value play, supported by 65% chance.

Best AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.20 – High-confidence selection combining two strong algorithm-backed markets.

Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.25 – Secondary value pick, aligned with a predicted 3-1 scoreline.

Match Facts

Venue: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Date & Kick-off: 24 September 2025, 19:00 GMT

Predicted Outcome: AZ Alkmaar win in a high-scoring game, likely 3-1.

Broadcast: Available via Eredivisie broadcasters across Europe and streaming platforms worldwide.

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Football Park’s predictions are algorithm-driven and highlight statistical value, not certainties. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits.

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