Excelsior vs Ajax Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Excelsior vs Ajax Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: February 01, 2026 | Stadion Woudestein | Eredivisie | 11:15 GMT

We come to you with action from the Dutch Eredivisie in what is a crucial match for the visiting third place Ajax who will be looking to pile on the pressure on Feyenoord, who currently occupy the second automatic Champions League spot.

Ajax will be hoping they can continue their positive league form, and bounce back to winning ways after suffering a defeat to Olympiakos midweek. Meanwhile, Excelsior will be hoping to continue their unbeaten run, and come into this clash off a 0-0 draw with FC Twente last weekend.

Football Park believes this game has the tools to offer up an entertaining clash, but we are backing an away victory here.

Key Betting Tip: Ajax to win at 1.75 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

odds subject to change.

Excelsior vs Ajax Lineups

Excelsior Predicted XI (4-3-3): van Gassel; Janssen, Henderikx, Widell, Martens; Hartjes, Yagoian, Nadje; de Regt, van Duinen, Jonathans.

Team News: Excelsior will have a full strength squad for this crucial fixture.

Ajax Predicted XI (4-3-3): Jaros; Wijndal, Baas, Sutalo, Gaael; Steur, Regeer, Klaasen; Godts, Dolberg, Gloukh.

Team News: For the visitors, Itakura and Berghuis are both sidelined for the clash.

Excelsior vs Ajax: Season Story So Far

Excelsior are enduring a tough topflight campaign this term, with them winning just six and drawn four so far, tallying up 22 points. This does leave them in a pretty comfortable position for now, with them six points clear of Telstar, who currently occupy the relegation playoff place but they also sit eight points behind the European playoff places.

As for Ajax, they have not had an ideal season to their standards, with rivals PSV having already practically wrapped up the title still with 14 games to go. They have only lost three games, but it is the seven draws which are letting them down, meaning their 10 wins sits them pretty in third, although NEC Nijmegen could surprise everyone and overtake the Dutch giants should they win their games in hand.

Excelsior vs Ajax Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

In the last 15 years, these sides have met on 20 occasions. Ajax dominate this matchup all ends up, winning 14 of these to Excelsior’s two. Although, Sunday’s hosts did win the reverse fixture this term, meaning this result may not be as easy to predict as first seemed.

• November 22, 2025: Ajax 1-2 Excelsior
• April 24, 2024: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
• August 19, 2023: Excelsior vs Ajax
• January 29, 2023: Excelsior vs Ajax
• October 16, 2022: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior

Excelsior and Ajax: Recent Matches Analysis

Excelsior Last 5 Matches:

• Excelsior 0-0 Twente (A)
• Excelsior 1-1 AZ (A)
• Excelsior 2-2 Telstar (H)
• Excelsior 1-5 PSV (A)
• Excelsior 2-1 Zwolle (H)

For their first time back in the topflight following their relegation in 2024, Excelsior have looked solid at times, especially in recent weeks. There only recent defeat and sole one in 2026 has been away at the league leaders, and their magnificent comeback to draw 2-2 with Telstar could prove to be a huge moment when we look back at the relegation picture later on this season.

Ajax Last 5 Matches:

• Ajax 1-2 Olympiakos (H) - Champions League
• Ajax 2-0 Volendam (H)
• Ajax 2-1 Villarreal (A) - Champions League
• Ajax 2-2 Go Ahead (H)
• Ajax 0-6 AZ (A) - KNVB Cup

It hasn’t been a great past few weeks for Ajax, and they have already experienced a number of slip ups in 2026, including a cup exit to AZ in embarrassing style, before earning four points in two games against two struggling sides before a defeat to Olympiakos to end off a poor European campaign where they landed just six points.

Excelsior vs Ajax Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in an away win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Excelsior vs Ajax Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Ajax to win @ 1.75 - Recent form suggests confidence in a Ajax victory. With a staggering 53.3% chance of an away win according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.

Key Players to Watch: Excelsior vs Ajax

Stijn van Gassel (Excelsior): The newly promoted side have delivered much better results at their home ground, and van Gassel has been at the forefront of this improvement. They have conceded just 12 goals in their 10 home matches compared to 23 in their away visits. There of his four clean sheets have come at home too, so he will vital if they want to win.

Mika Godts (Ajax): The Amsterdam outfit may have found their new star, and this time he isn’t Dutch. Belgian winger Godts has shone through this term, earning 15 goal involvements in just 18 games.

Excelsior vs Ajax Match Facts

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal.

Broadcast Details:

UK/INT’L: Premier Sports Player at 11:15 GMT.

Stadium Information: Located in Rotterdam, Netherlands, the Stadion Woudestein can hold up to just over 4,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed in what could be a season-defining clash for both.

Excelsior vs Ajax: Final Prediction

Excelsior 1-3 Ajax